Anubis Gaming Turns a 26% Chance Into a Game 2 Win

TL;DR: Anubis Gaming beat Solary in Game 2 after the market gave them only a 26% chance, turning the match into an upset that shifts momentum in the EMEA Masters 2026 series. The result is clear, but the available record contains no timeline or in-game statistics, so the decisive execution cannot be reconstructed.

Key Takeaways

• Anubis Gaming won despite a 26% pre-game market forecast, a clear upset rather than a result the market expected.
• Solary had the draft model’s 50% favor, but lost, so that predicted edge did not materialize as a win.
• Shy Carry on Ashe and Jool on Ahri appear in the recorded lineups, but their K/D/A and gold difference are unavailable; no individual impact can be quantified.

Early Game

The contest opened with a striking gap between market confidence and the eventual result. At draft close, Solary stood at 74% against Anubis Gaming’s 26%. The supplied draft analysis also gave Solary the model’s narrow 50% preference, describing its Vi, Ahri, Draven and Pyke lineup as a more incisive pick-and-snowball route.

That edge came with a warning: Malphite could restrict Vayne’s path to scaling, while Anubis Gaming had more direct five-on-five engage. Ashe and Seraphine were also presented as a stable pairing, with modeled duo synergy of 52.5% across about 222 games. But the match record provides no duration, gold, objective count or minute-by-minute timeline; assigning an early lead or a specific opening play would go beyond the evidence.

The Turning Point

The verified turning point is the final result itself: Anubis Gaming won, overturning both the market’s expectation and the draft model’s modest preference for Solary. The draft prediction therefore did not materialize in-game as a Solary victory. It cannot establish which specific fight or decision swung the match, because no kills, K/D/A, damage shares or objective sequence were supplied.

The lineups suggest contrasting ways to approach the game: Solary could look for picks through Ahri and Pyke, while Anubis Gaming could threaten direct team fights around Malphite, with Ashe and Seraphine supporting the formation. Those are strategic possibilities, not proof of what happened on the Rift.

Closing Out

Anubis Gaming converted its underdog status into the Game 2 win, but the available figures do not show how it closed. Both teams are listed with 0 kills, 0 towers, 0 dragons and 0 barons, and gold is unknown. Those zeros are missing-data placeholders, not a credible account of a completed match; the actual scoreline, duration and objective haul cannot be stated. The result matters to the series narrative, but its precise momentum swing remains unmeasured.

Polymarket Market

The market read this game incorrectly: it priced Solary at 74% and Anubis Gaming at 26%, then Anubis Gaming won. That makes this a documented upset, not evidence that the market’s favorite converted its advantage. The draft offered a possible explanation the price may have underweighted: Solary’s model edge was only 50%, and the analysis flagged Malphite’s threat to Vayne’s scaling alongside Anubis Gaming’s direct engage. Still, without a match timeline or combat statistics, the record cannot show whether that composition-level concern decided the game or how Anubis executed it.

FAQ

*Odds via Polymarket, 2026-10-14 17:19 UTC.*