Solary vs Anubis Gaming: Syndra’s EMEA Masters Risk

TL;DR: Solary face Anubis Gaming in EMEA Masters Game 4 with a narrow 51%–49% draft-model edge. The defining risk is Jool’s Syndra: she has won 40% across 84 EMEA Masters games, compared with Orianna’s 62% across just 8, while Jool himself has only 1 game on Syndra in the league.

Syndra gives Solary a way to contest mid priority and punish Anubis’s setup before Orianna can control a fight with her ultimate. But the pick is a gamble rather than a proven Jool comfort choice: he has just 1 EMEA Masters game on the champion, so Solary need early pressure and accurate Syndra stuns to keep Giyuu’s Orianna from dictating engagements.

Compositions: Solary vs Anubis Gaming

Solary’s Gwen, Pantheon, Syndra, Aphelios, and Thresh bring skirmish tools and pick potential. Pantheon can create early pressure, while Thresh offers an engage or a lantern exit; later, Solary need Gwen and Aphelios to survive the first contact and deal sustained damage. Their route to a strong mid game is finding isolated targets before Anubis groups.

Anubis Gaming’s Camille, Skarner, Orianna, Jinx, and Nautilus have a clearer engage-and-teamfight shape. Skarner and Nautilus can start fights, with Orianna adding follow-up control and Jinx providing scaling damage. Camille also threatens a side lane, forcing Solary to answer the split-push rather than freely grouping. Anubis can look for picks early, then convert its engage into objective fights and a more reliable late-game front-to-back.

Key Picks and Stats

Top lane pits Kryze’s Gwen against maged’s Camille. Kryze’s Gwen has a 55.4% global WR over 343G and a 50.0% EMEA Masters WR over 26G; Kryze is 66.7% over 3 league games, with a 7.3 KDA. Maged’s Camille has a 52.5% global WR over 476G and a 62.1% league WR over 29G; his personal league mark is 100.0% over 1G, with a 1.7 KDA. The tiny head-to-head sample favors Gwen at 75.0% over 4 global games, so it is a counter-matchup signal, not a guarantee.

Zicssi’s Pantheon has a 45.4% global WR over 1230G and a 50.0% EMEA Masters WR over 82G; his league record is 100.0% over 3G, with an 18.0 KDA. Theocacs’ Skarner posts 53.6% over 549G globally and 54.5% over 44 league games, with a 50.0% personal league WR over 2G and a 5.0 KDA. Skarner’s 65.6% global WR against Pantheon over 90G gives Anubis a meaningful matchup advantage.

Mid is the draft’s clearest tension: Jool’s Syndra is 49.6% globally over 904G and 40.5% in the league over 84G, while Giyuu’s Orianna has a 50.9% global WR over 1167G and a 46.7% league WR over 75G. Giyuu is 100.0% over 3 league games, with a 14.7 KDA. Syndra has a 43.8% global WR against Orianna over 89G, but her EMEA Masters head-to-head is 62.5% over 8G.

Bot lane favors Anubis on paper. Aetinoth’s Aphelios is 48.0% globally over 327G and 40.0% in the league over 20G; his personal league record is 50.0% over 2G, with a 2.0 KDA. Shy Carry’s Jinx is 49.6% globally over 139G and 55.6% in the league over 18G; he is 100.0% over 2G, with an 8.0 KDA. Jinx also has a 61.9% global WR against Aphelios over 21G. Support adds nuance: Piero’s Thresh is 47.4% globally over 154G and 50.0% in the league over 8G, while B Butcher’s Nautilus is 46.1% over 1292G globally and 44.3% over 115 league games. Nautilus’s 61.5% global WR against Thresh over 13G favors Anubis.

Draft Edge

Anubis has the more coherent engage-and-scale plan, strong matchup numbers for Skarner and Jinx, and Camille’s side-lane pressure. Solary’s counterplay is to turn Pantheon’s early activity and Thresh’s picks into a tempo lead, then use Gwen to disrupt grouped fights. The model’s slight Solary lean likely reflects broader team signals, but the draft’s matchup details make the margin fragile.

Polymarket Market

Polymarket prices Game 4 at Solary 76% and Anubis Gaming 24%, versus 94%–6% for the series now. That makes the market 18 percentage points less confident in Solary for this game than in the overall series. No series pre-match odds are provided, so the movement since pre-match cannot be established from this snapshot. The market still strongly favors Solary in Game 4, but Anubis’s Skarner-Pantheon matchup, Jinx’s edge into Aphelios, and stronger late-game teamfight shape offer reasons the map could be closer than the series price suggests.

Prediction

The draft model gives Solary 51% and Anubis Gaming 49%, a near coin flip. Solary’s team-form signal is 0.800, while Anubis also records 0.800; Solary’s season WR is 0.709 against Anubis’s 0.645, supporting a narrow Solary lean. I would keep the model’s call, but only narrowly: if Theocacs converts Skarner’s matchup edge into early control, Anubis’s engage and scaling could take over.

FAQ

*Data: draftlol live draft model + Polymarket, draft close.*