LoL Esports Projections & Match Predictions
Win projections for every professional League of Legends series, registered before the match and scored against Polymarket.
Upcoming Predictions
Recent Results
What a projection is
A projection is a win probability for a series, published before it is played. We register it up to 48 hours ahead, freeze it, and never edit it afterwards — so the number you read now is the number we are judged on later.
How the projection is built
Each upcoming series is scored on four signals. A signal that lacks data is switched off and its share is redistributed, which is why two projections can weigh the same signal differently.
Recent form
Results over each team's last series.
Head-to-head
How these two teams have fared against each other.
Elo rating
Strength relative to the rest of the league.
Season win rate
Baseline performance across the split.
Why we show the market next to it
Every projection is paired with the Polymarket price at registration time. The market is a strong benchmark, so publishing both makes the projection falsifiable: when we disagree with the market, one of us is wrong, and the result settles it.
Reading the gap
A projection close to the market price is a confirmation. A wide gap is a disagreement — interesting, but not automatically an edge. The track record shows how often each side has been right.
Projections are pre-match and champion-agnostic: they are computed before drafts are known. To project a specific draft, use the simulator.