kt Rolster vs HANJIN BRION: Renata Glasc Risk in LCK

TL;DR: In LCK Game 2, kt Rolster hold a 53% draft-model edge over HANJIN BRION’s 47%, but Namgung’s Renata Glasc is the defining wrinkle: she owns a 43.0% global WR over 151G, a 42.3% LCK WR over 26G, and only 1G of LCK experience for the support.

HANJIN BRION are betting that Renata Glasc can turn Vi and Ahri’s first engage into a reset-heavy teamfight rather than expose a weak lane. The pick looks deliberate rather than forced, but it needs Namgung to survive Lulu pressure and time Bailout around GIDEON’s dives.

Compositions: kt Rolster vs HANJIN BRION

kt Rolster drafted a controlled front-to-back composition: PerfecT’s Ornn supplies engage and late-game upgrades, Cuzz’s Naafiri and Bdd’s Syndra can punish isolated targets, while Jiwoo’s Yunara and Effort’s Lulu provide scaling carry protection. Their early game should prioritize safe lanes and objective setup; their late-game route is Ornn-led teamfights with Lulu enabling Yunara.

HANJIN BRION have a much sharper early-to-mid-game engage identity. Casting’s Rumble wants choke-point poke and zone control, GIDEON’s Vi creates direct access to carries, Roamer’s Ahri can follow picks or roam, and Teddy’s Kalista offers early objective pressure. Renata Glasc gives the red side a high-ceiling counter-engage tool, but this lineup must snowball before Ornn upgrades and Lulu shielding blunt its burst.

Key Picks and Stats

Top lane is more favorable for kt Rolster than Rumble’s headline numbers suggest. Casting’s Rumble has a 52.6% global WR over 1234G and a 53.2% LCK WR over 79G, yet he is only 44.4% on Rumble in LCK over 9G with a 3.5 KDA. Ornn has a 56.9% global WR into Rumble over 153G, although PerfecT’s LCK Ornn record is 50.0% over 10G.

The jungle matchup is HANJIN BRION’s clearest statistical lane. GIDEON’s Vi holds a 53.1% global WR over 1107G and a 52.1% LCK WR over 94G; he is 66.7% on Vi in LCK over 3G. Vi’s LCK record into Naafiri is 83.3% over 6G, while Cuzz’s Naafiri is only 16.7% into Vi over 6G despite his 50.0% LCK WR over 48G.

Mid is volatile: Roamer’s Ahri has a 64.7% LCK WR over 51G and a 100.0% personal Ahri record over 1G, whereas Bdd is 40.0% on Syndra over 5G. Bot lane gives kt Rolster a response: Effort’s Lulu is 66.7% over 9G with a 5.0 KDA, and Lulu is 100.0% into Renata Glasc in LCK over 2G.

Draft Edge

HANJIN BRION gain the more explosive pick tools through Vi, Ahri and Rumble, with Rumble+Ahri posting a 70.51% synergy WR over 34.059304071947075G. Yet kt Rolster own sturdier scaling and unusually strong Syndra pairings: Naafiri+Syndra carry a 64.32% synergy WR over 16.291219380341943G, while Syndra+Lulu reach 67.81% over 12.69842810469344G.

Last night’s forecast expected Jarvan IV as kt Rolster’s B1 and Orianna for HANJIN BRION if available; neither prediction was confirmed. The supplied draft record does not list bans, so the projected Orianna, Varus, Bard, Rumble, Karma and Vi bans cannot be verified. Renata Glasc is the sharpest departure from that forecast.

Polymarket Market

Polymarket makes kt Rolster a 66% favorite for Game 2 against 34% for HANJIN BRION, while the current series market is 86% to 14%. kt Rolster’s series price rose from 74% pre-match to 86%, a +12.0 percentage points move, reinforced by their Game 1 win at 24-11 kills in 39:20.

The Game 2 market is less optimistic about kt Rolster than the series market, suggesting traders respect HANJIN BRION’s immediate draft volatility even after the series momentum shifted. Vi’s favorable jungle matchup and Ahri’s LCK form explain the 34%, but Renata Glasc’s 0.0% LCK record into Lulu over 2G supports the larger kt Rolster price.

Prediction

The model calls kt Rolster 53% to HANJIN BRION 47%. I would move kt Rolster slightly to 55%, because Game 1 momentum and the Lulu-versus-Renata Glasc evidence reduce HANJIN BRION’s margin for error. Still, both teams entered with 0.400 team-form signals, and GIDEON’s Vi can rapidly change the mental state of a best-of series.

FAQ

*Data: draftlol live draft model + Polymarket, draft close.*