HANJIN BRION vs kt Rolster: LCK Game 5 Yuumi Gamble

TL;DR: In LCK Game 5, HANJIN BRION face kt Rolster with the draft model at 52% to 48% for HANJIN BRION. kt Rolster’s Yuumi is the defining gamble: despite a 43.1% global WR over 65G, Effort has beaten Neeko in 80.0% over 5G, aiming to protect Jiwoo’s Zeri carry.

Compositions: HANJIN BRION vs kt Rolster

HANJIN BRION have direct engage and skirmish threat through Casting’s Renekton, GIDEON’s Zed, Roamer’s Annie, Teddy’s Kai’Sa and Namgung’s Neeko. Their best route is early picks around Neeko and Annie crowd control, then letting Kai’Sa follow into chaotic mid-game fights before Zeri can reach scaling.

kt Rolster draft a more conditional front-to-back composition: PerfecT’s K’Sante and Cuzz’s Trundle create space for Bdd’s Galio engage, while Jiwoo’s Zeri and Effort’s Yuumi seek a protected late-game carry. Yuumi’s value depends on kt avoiding early snowball; if Zeri survives the first objective cycles, the attach-and-kite plan becomes far harder to break.

Key Picks and Stats

Top lane favors HANJIN BRION on the matchup data. Casting’s Renekton has a 49.6% global WR over 839G and 42.5% LCK WR over 80G, but his personal Renekton mark is only 16.7% over 6G with a 2.3 KDA. Still, Renekton holds a 54.4% global WR over 103G and 85.7% LCK WR over 7G against K’Sante. PerfecT’s K’Sante is at 46.3% global WR over 1110G, 48.2% LCK WR over 83G, and 30.0% over 10G for the player.

Mid is the clearest lane edge. Roamer’s Annie posts 53.3% global WR over 559G, 58.0% LCK WR over 69G, and an 83.3% player WR over 6G with a 3.0 KDA. Against Galio, Annie has a 75.0% LCK WR over 4G. Bdd’s Galio is 0.0% over 1G with a 0.7 KDA, despite a 54.1% LCK WR over 37G.

Cuzz’s Trundle is kt’s reliable counterweight: 52.7% global WR over 336G, 60.0% LCK WR over 30G, and 66.7% over 6G with a 6.4 KDA. GIDEON’s Zed is the volatility pick at 23.1% global WR over 13G. Bot lane is similarly sharp: Teddy’s Kai’Sa owns 54.9% global WR over 328G, 72.7% LCK WR over 11G, and a 50.0% WR over 2G versus Zeri; Jiwoo’s Zeri has 41.9% global WR over 129G, 40.0% LCK WR over 5G, and 0.0% over 1G.

Draft Edge

The pre-draft forecast expected KT to prioritize Jarvan IV and HANJIN BRION to consider Orianna, but neither materialized as the visible lead pick: kt Rolster instead committed to K’Sante, while HANJIN BRION opened their shown lineup with Renekton. No ban log was supplied, so the projected Orianna, Varus, Bard, Rumble, Karma and Vi bans cannot be confirmed.

HANJIN BRION hold the cleaner engage chain and stronger Annie-versus-Galio lane evidence. kt Rolster’s Yuumi is the deviation from last night’s forecast, trading early agency for a narrow but potent Zeri scaling condition.

Polymarket Market

Polymarket prices HANJIN BRION at 42% and kt Rolster at 57% for Game 5, exactly matching the current series market at 42% and 57%. Because this is Game 5, Polymarket does not create a separate deciding-map market; these are the same series moneyline snapshot taken seconds apart.

The market has moved dramatically from HANJIN BRION’s 26% pre-match series price to 42% now, a gain of 32.0 percentage points. That movement reflects their route through Games 2 and 3, but traders still prefer kt Rolster’s season foundation and Cuzz’s dependable Trundle. The draft’s Annie and Renekton matchup advantages explain why the model is more favorable to HANJIN BRION than the market.

Prediction

The model gives HANJIN BRION 52% and kt Rolster 48%. I would keep that narrow edge: HANJIN BRION’s better current draft interactions offset kt Rolster’s superior 56.6% Elo signal and 46.4% season WR versus 41.2%. The series is tied after kt won Game 4 17-8 in 33:40, so momentum and Game 5 mental resilience can quickly overturn a small draft advantage.

FAQ

*Data: draftlol live draft model + Polymarket, draft close.*