Dplus Kia vs Bilibili Gaming Prediction & Odds — Worlds (Nov 5, 2026)
Dplus Kia vs Bilibili Gaming prediction for Worlds: model probability, Polymarket odds, head-to-head record and draft preview.
TL;DR: Dplus Kia 41.5% vs Bilibili Gaming 58.5%. Bilibili Gaming are favored because Xun and Knight have stronger early-game numbers, while Dplus Kia’s unbeaten Worlds run and ShowMaker’s form make this a close series.
Dplus Kia come in at 3W-0L at Worlds and have won 4 of their last 5 series, including victories over Movistar KOI, T1 and G2 Esports. Bilibili Gaming are 3W-2L, with recent wins against Hanwha Life Esports and Karmine Corp, but losses to Top Esports and Movistar KOI leave less room for error. The teams’ recent results offer no direct head-to-head between them, so this best-of-five will be a fresh test rather than a rematch.
The early-game numbers point in both directions. Dplus Kia lead in average gold difference, +4,156 to +3,272, and ShowMaker’s +425 gold difference at 15 minutes is a major advantage in mid. Bilibili Gaming, however, have Xun at +281 at 15 minutes and Knight at +377; Xun’s 76.2% kill participation makes his jungle pressure especially important. ShowMaker has a 7.0 KDA across his recent sample, while Knight’s 10.3 KDA is formidable. If Knight stabilizes mid and Xun turns that lead into early ganks, Bilibili can disrupt Dplus Kia’s preferred pace.
Draft could set the terms. Nocturne leads the tournament with 91.3% presence and a 75% ban rate, and Dplus Kia ban him in 64.1% of their games. Expect that ban to remain a serious possibility. Vi is another key target: she has an 85.7% win rate in 7 games as a first pick, and Dplus Kia’s Lucid has used her twice in his recent sample. Jarvan IV is also a plausible early selection, given Lucid’s history on the champion and its 80% win rate in 5 games as a first pick.
Polymarket’s real-money odds give Bilibili Gaming 58.5% and Dplus Kia 41.5%. That edge reflects Bilibili’s stronger jungle and mid early-game figures and Knight’s exceptional KDA, while Dplus Kia’s unbeaten 3W-0L Worlds record and higher average gold difference keep the matchup competitive.
Bilibili Gaming get the narrow edge at 58.5% to Dplus Kia’s 41.5%, chiefly because Xun and Knight can pressure the early game, though ShowMaker gives Dplus Kia a clear route to the upset.
FAQ
Q: Which team is favored in Dplus Kia vs Bilibili Gaming?
Bilibili Gaming are favored at 58.5% on Polymarket, compared with 41.5% for Dplus Kia.
Q: Which player could decide Dplus Kia vs Bilibili Gaming?
The mid-lane duel between ShowMaker and Knight could define the series: ShowMaker averages +425 gold difference at 15 minutes, while Knight has a 10.3 KDA.