CTBC Flying Oyster vs Deep Cross Gaming Prediction & Odds — LCP (Jul 26, 2026)
CTBC Flying Oyster vs Deep Cross Gaming prediction for LCP: model probability, Polymarket odds, head-to-head record and draft preview.
CTBC Flying Oyster36.5%
Deep Cross Gaming63.5%El mercado de predicción da a Deep Cross Gaming el 64% de probabilidades de llevarse la serie. CTBC Flying Oyster parte como claro underdog con solo un 36%.
TL;DR: CTBC Flying Oyster 38% vs Deep Cross Gaming 62%. Deep Cross Gaming are still the favorite, but this looks closer than the standings suggest because both teams have posted brutal early-game numbers and CTBC’s best path is through a more reliable bot-side damage source in Doggo.
This matchup comes with a strange tension. On the surface, Deep Cross Gaming’s 17W-9L record and 2nd place finish make them the obvious side over a CTBC Flying Oyster team sitting at 5W-11L in 7th, but the recent trend lines are messy for both. CTBC are only 1W-4L in their last five series and already dropped 0-2 to Deep Cross Gaming in the recent head-to-head, yet Deep Cross Gaming are also 1W-4L in their last five and have looked shaky against stronger opposition, including losses to Team Liquid, Karmine Corp, and Team Secret Whales. This is not a classic clash between a clean contender and a collapsing underdog; it is a series between one team with the better season and another that may have slightly more stable carry points right now.
The numbers from lane phase explain why this series could turn scrappy fast. CTBC average a -4,172 total gold diff and Deep Cross Gaming sit at -4,322, while both teams average 13.5 kills for. The big difference is where the damage can realistically come from. For CTBC, Doggo has a 3.1 KDA and a 28.2% damage share, making him the clearest late-game threat, while Shad0w still drives the map with 73.2% kill participation. For Deep Cross Gaming, Flauren at -402 GD@15 and Pop9 at -661 GD@15 are major warning signs, even if HongSuo has shown some mid-lane stability earlier in games.
Draft should matter immediately. The league-wide tactical layer points straight at Nocturne with 68% presence and a 60.4% ban rate, plus high-value priority on Orianna, Varus, Rumble, and Jarvan IV. The most realistic B1s here are Ryze at 68.4% WR in 19 games, Ezreal at 70% in 10, and Rumble at 60.9% in 23, so CTBC should strongly consider first-rotating Ezreal or Rumble, while Deep Cross Gaming may try to remove comfort through Nocturne and contested engage setups.
Polymarket is the clearest external signal, pricing CTBC Flying Oyster at 36.5% and Deep Cross Gaming at 63.5%. That market edge tracks with the season-long gap, the recent 0-2 head-to-head, and Deep Cross Gaming’s higher baseline, but it is tempered by how poor both teams’ early-game profiles have been.
I still lean Deep Cross Gaming to win the BO3 because their full-season body of work and recent edge in the matchup outweigh CTBC’s bot-lane upside, but the margin is thinner than the table suggests: CTBC Flying Oyster 38% vs Deep Cross Gaming 62%.
FAQ
Q: Who is favored in CTBC Flying Oyster vs Deep Cross Gaming? A: Deep Cross Gaming are favored because they hold the stronger overall record at 17W-9L versus 5W-11L, and they also won the most recent meeting 2-0.
Q: Which player is most likely to decide CTBC Flying Oyster vs Deep Cross Gaming?
Doggo looks like the most important swing player because he brings a 28.2% damage share and a 3.1 KDA for CTBC, giving them the clearest carry route if the series reaches scaling fights.
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