HANJIN BRION 2-1 Nongshim RedForce — LCK 2026 Results & Stats

TL;DR: HANJIN BRION ignored the market's 28 percent pre-series odds and the 35 percent prediction to upset Nongshim RedForce 2-1 in LCK 2026. The underdogs flipped early expectations by taking Game 1 and rallying in Game 3 after dropping Game 2.

Key Takeaways

- Casting earned series MVP honors with standout performances on Ambessa in Game 1 (+1049 gold difference at 15) and Yorick in Game 3 (5/0/6 despite an early deficit). - The decisive swing came in Game 3 when HANJIN BRION overcame a 1639 gold@15 deficit behind Namgung's Yuumi and Lucian's 9/1/7 carry to force a 2-1 series win. - HANJIN BRION claimed the series 2-1 despite entering as heavy underdogs, while Nongshim RedForce's 65 percent pre-match edge and 6.7 form score failed to hold across the full arc.

Before the Series

Pre-match models gave Nongshim RedForce a 65 percent win probability over HANJIN BRION's 35 percent, citing the visitors' superior recent form. The real-money market was even more skeptical at just 28 percent for HANJIN BRION. Pre-draft analysis had flagged Rumble, Jarvan IV, Ryze, Annie, and Milio as key champions. Both predictions faced immediate tests once the series began.

Game 1 — Setting the Tone

HANJIN BRION stunned everyone by taking Game 1 32-20 in 40:24. Casting on Ambessa created an early top-lane mismatch that snowballed into 5 dragons to 1 and 3 barons to 0. Teddy on Corki finished 12/3/8 while the team converted a massive 12k gold lead. This result already defied the 35 percent pre-match call and pushed the Polymarket sharply in HANJIN BRION's favor.

Game 2 — The Pivot

Nongshim RedForce responded as 65 percent favorites in Game 2, winning 18-9 in 30:27. Scout on Syndra built a +1116 gold difference at 15 minutes while Sponge on Jarvan IV posted a flawless 2/0/16. The pre-draft flagged champions Rumble, Jarvan IV, and Ryze all appeared and delivered constant pressure, validating that portion of the analysis as Nongshim RedForce evened the series at 1-1.

Game 3 — The Climax

HANJIN BRION completed the comeback in Game 3, winning 19-4 in 31:19 after trailing by 1639 gold at 15 minutes. Casting on Yorick absorbed early pressure to post 5/0/6 while Namgung on Yuumi enabled Lucian's 9/1/7 performance. Annie and Milio entered the draft as predicted and helped secure the 8-5 tower edge that decided the series.

Aftermath

HANJIN BRION's 2-1 victory proved the 35 percent pre-match prediction wrong and showed the flagged champions could deliver when the right team secured them. The series highlighted how early gold leads and objective control can override form ratings in best-of-three formats.

Polymarket Trajectory

The market opened at 28 percent for HANJIN BRION, correctly sensing Nongshim RedForce's form advantage but missing the top-lane diff Casting would create. After Game 1 the line swung to 60 percent, then settled near 36 percent after Game 2. The final Game 3 upset at 34 percent odds exposed how draft edges on Yorick and Yuumi can override pre-series probabilities when execution matches.

Series Stats

FAQ

Q: Why did HANJIN BRION win the series despite the 35 percent prediction? A: HANJIN BRION won by securing early top-lane advantages in Games 1 and 3, converting them into 5 dragons to 1 and 3 barons to 0 in the opener plus an 8-5 tower lead in the decider.

*Odds via Polymarket, 2026-08-05 11:56 UTC.*