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Casting Yorick Turns Game 3 for HANJIN BRION

By Draftlol Analysis Desk3 min read

HANJIN BRION defies 34 percent odds to beat Nongshim RedForce 19-4 in LCK 2026 Game 3, erasing a 1639 gold deficit behind Casting Yorick and Namgung Yuumi to level the series at 1-1.

GAME 3LCKRounds 3-4Bo3Game 3Patch 26.15
HANJIN BRION
Hanjin BrionWinner
31:19
Nongshim RedForce
Nongshim RedForce
Polymarket · Game marketmarket probability · NONGSHIM RED FORCE · HANJIN BRIONUPSET
Game (draft close)HANJIN BRION won (34% pre-game)
67%·34%
Series (now)post-game · 1-1
0%·100%
Series (draft close)pre-game anchor
67%·34%
Δ Series after this game: -66.5pp for NONGSHIM RED FORCE

TL;DR: HANJIN BRION ignored 34 percent market odds and overturned a 1639 gold@15 deficit to defeat Nongshim RedForce 19-4 in 31:20, leveling their LCK 2026 best-of-three at 1-1 behind Casting's Yorick and Namgung's Yuumi.

Key Takeaways

- Casting piloted Yorick through a -1546 gold@15 deficit yet posted 5/0/6 with 58 percent kill participation, creating the top-lane diff that decided the series. - Namgung anchored the win on Yuumi with an 18.0 KDA and 16 assists, enabling Lucian's 9/1/7 carry while Nongshim RedForce managed only 4 kills total. - HANJIN BRION converted a 1-0 series deficit into a 1-1 tie by claiming 8 towers, 3 dragons and 1 baron against Nongshim RedForce's 5 towers, 2 dragons and 0 barons.

The Deficit

Pre-match markets gave HANJIN BRION just 35 percent against Nongshim RedForce at 65 percent, citing the visitors' superior 6.7 form score. Nongshim RedForce led the series 1-0 after Game 2 and built a 1639 gold@15 advantage in Game 3. The live draft model still favored HANJIN BRION at 50 percent, but early skirmishes saw Trundle and Jayce push leads for the favorites. Predictions had flagged Annie, Milio and Lucian; all three entered the draft, though Milio sat on the opposing side.

The Swing

Casting absorbed early pressure on Yorick despite the steep gold deficit, using split-push pressure to force Nongshim RedForce into awkward rotations. Namgung's Yuumi provided constant sustain and 16 assists that kept Lucian alive through dives. The 50 percent draft edge materialized when Annie and Xin Zhao generated mid-game skirmish wins that erased the gold gap by minute 20. Nongshim RedForce's Viktor and Xayah could not scale into the late game as predicted.

Closing the Door

HANJIN BRION closed the kill race 19-4 while securing the sole baron and three dragons. The 31:20 victory proved the pre-match 35 percent call wrong and confirmed the draft model's 50 percent lean. Series odds swung from Nongshim RedForce 66 percent at draft close to HANJIN BRION 100 percent post-game.

Polymarket Market

The market correctly priced Nongshim RedForce as favorites at 66 percent for Game 3 yet underestimated how Casting's Yorick execution would overcome the gold deficit. Draft models at 50 percent proved more accurate than form-based odds. After the result the series market flipped completely, moving Nongshim RedForce from 65 percent pre-series to zero percent now and placing all momentum with HANJIN BRION for the decider.

FAQ

Q: Why did HANJIN BRION overcome the early gold disadvantage? A: Casting's Yorick created map pressure despite -1546 gold@15 while Namgung's Yuumi delivered 16 assists to fuel the bot-lane carry.

Q: Did the pre-draft champions Annie, Milio and Lucian deliver as expected?

Lucian posted 9/1/7 and Annie enabled mid skirmishes, though the Milio pick on Nongshim RedForce failed to impact the outcome.

*Odds via Polymarket, 2026-08-05 10:38 UTC.*

Next chapter · SeriesHANJIN BRION 2-1 Nongshim RedForce — LCK 2026 Results & Stats
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