Tatu’s Chogath Turns the Tide for FURIA in Game 3
FURIA defied the 40% pre-game odds as Tatu’s Chogath helped secure two Barons and a commanding Worlds 2026 win over Cloud9


Tatu's Chogath and FURIA's 2 Barons turned a 40% market expectation into an upset.
MVP
Tatu helped drive FURIA's snowball with 71% kill participation despite a -1118 gold difference at 15.
Verified predictions
- Pre-draft analysis flagged Orianna; she appeared for Cloud9 and finished 1/3/3, but did not deliver a winning outcome. Pre-draft
- Live draft model favored Cloud9 at 51%; Cloud9 lost, so the predicted draft edge did not materialize in-game. Draft
TL;DR: With the series tied and the market giving FURIA just 40%, the underdogs answered with a jungle-led 14-6 win. Tatu’s Chogath helped drive the snowball, JoJo’s Karma finished with a 14.00 KDA, and 2 Barons to Cloud9 0 put FURIA ahead in the Worlds 2026 series.
Key Takeaways
- FURIA overcame the 40% pre-game market expectation, turning a close series into a commanding 2-1 lead.
- Tatu played Chogath through a -1118 gold difference at 15, yet his 71% kill participation helped FURIA control the game.
- JoJo anchored the win on Karma with a 14.00 KDA, while FURIA took 2 Barons and Cloud9 took 0.
Building the Lead
The series stood level at 1-1, making Game 3 a chance to seize the lead. The market had FURIA at just 40% at draft close, but the match showed how quickly an expected draft edge can dissolve when the other team dictates the pace.
Cloud9 Naafiri held a +1118 gold difference at 15, while FURIA’s Chogath was -1118. That early deficit was a real obstacle, but it did not tell the whole story: the jungler’s 71% kill participation tied him to the action that mattered as FURIA built a coordinated lead. The game’s wider shape swung decisively toward them.
FURIA’s Viktor added the sharpest damage to the fight, finishing with 6/2/7. On Karma, JoJo died 0 times and collected 13 assists; that 14.00 KDA reflected how reliably the support enabled teammates rather than chasing personal kills. Meanwhile, Sivir contributed 9 assists, helping carry FURIA’s pressure across the map.
The Numbers Tell the Story
Cloud9 did secure 3 dragons to FURIA’s 2, but that advantage could not compensate for the map control FURIA gained elsewhere. FURIA claimed 10 towers against 4, and the gold total reached 72.2k to 61.1k. The result was a one-sided finish, even with fewer dragons.
The champion flagged in pre-draft analysis, Orianna, appeared for Cloud9 and ended 1/3/3. Her +828 gold difference at 15 suggested a promising start, but the final line shows that early advantage did not turn into enough influence to stop FURIA’s snowball. So the flagged pick appeared, but did not deliver a winning outcome.
The Final Push
In 34:10, FURIA converted its lead into the decisive objectives: 2 Barons to none, followed by a firm hold on the map. The 14-6 kill score captured the fight outcome, but the tower count and gold gap explain why Cloud9 struggled to find a route back.
The live draft model favored Cloud9 at 51%, yet that predicted edge did not materialize in-game. Cloud9 proposed engage-and-skirmish route failed to contain FURIA once the game’s momentum shifted. FURIA instead made its composition work through coordinated fights and objective control, turning the market’s 40% expectation into an upset and taking the series lead.
Polymarket Market
At draft close, the market priced FURIA at 40% to win Game 3, with Cloud9 at 60%. The upset exposed a gap between expected draft advantages and what actually decided the match: Cloud9 favored live draft outlook did not prevent FURIA from building a large lead, and the 2-0 Baron advantage made that lead count. Before the series, the market had already leaned strongly toward Cloud9 at 84% against FURIA’s 16%. After this result, the series odds swung to FURIA 60% and Cloud9 40%, a 34.0 percentage-point move toward FURIA from draft close. FURIA now holds the series lead, but the series remains alive.
FAQ
Q: Why was Tatu’s Chogath central to FURIA’s win despite the early gold deficit?
He was -1118 gold at 15, but his 71% kill participation connected him to FURIA’s decisive plays as the team snowballed.
Q: Did Cloud9 draft advantage or the Orianna pick decide the game?
Neither produced a Cloud9 win: the live model favored them at 51%, while Orianna finished 1/3/3. FURIA secured 2 Barons and won 14-6.
*Odds via Polymarket, 2026-10-16 23:27 UTC.*