Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming Prediction & Odds — Worlds (Oct 29, 2026)

TL;DR: Top Esports 24.5% vs Bilibili Gaming 75.5%. Bilibili Gaming is favored because its +5,679 average gold difference and 9.0/10 early-game score point to a stronger lane-to-midgame foundation.

Both teams enter at 2W-1L, with identical 3W-2L records across their last five series, but Top Esports has the better recent-form rating at 7.2/10 compared with Bilibili Gaming’s 6.3/10. Top Esports’ wins over G2 Esports and Anyone’s Legend show it can handle varied opponents, while its recent 3-1 and 2-3 results against Invictus Gaming suggest the team can compete in longer series. Bilibili Gaming has beaten Karmine Corp and Team Liquid, though its loss to Movistar KOI and split results against Anyone’s Legend underline some inconsistency.

The central matchup is in mid lane and jungle. Knight has a +451 gold difference at 15 minutes, a major advantage over Creme at +133, and that could give Bilibili Gaming the first move around objectives. Yet Tian holds a +156 average at 15 minutes against Xun’s -304, giving Top Esports a clear route to challenge that early pressure. JackeyLove and Viper are both potential late-game carries, but Top Esports may need its bot lane to avoid falling behind: JackeyLove averages -87 gold at 15 minutes, while Viper is at +12.

Draft could decide whether those matchups play out on favorable terms. Nocturne is the leading priority, with 91.1% presence and a 71.4% ban rate, so either team could remove it rather than risk giving it up. If available, Vi looks like a compelling B1 option after posting 83.3% WR in 6 games; Top Esports also has a reason to value the pick, while Bilibili Gaming has banned it 38 times (21.5%). That makes the opening ban phase especially important.

Polymarket gives Top Esports 24.5% and Bilibili Gaming 75.5% implied win probability. The market’s strong preference for Bilibili Gaming aligns with its much larger average gold lead and superior early-game rating, as well as Knight’s mid-lane advantage. Top Esports’ better form and Tian’s early numbers offer a credible upset path, but the market is pricing Bilibili’s broader early pressure as more decisive.

Bilibili Gaming deserves the edge at 75.5% because its early-game and mid-lane advantages are stronger, although Top Esports can threaten that forecast if Tian turns his lane pressure into the first objective.

FAQ