Movistar KOI vs T1 Prediction & Odds — Worlds (Oct 28, 2026)

TL;DR: Movistar KOI 14.5% vs T1 85.5%. T1 are the clear favorite, but Movistar KOI’s +2,486 average gold differential gives them a route to an upset if they turn their early-game strength into a lead.

Both teams enter with a 2W-1L Worlds record and a 3W-2L mark across their last five series, but T1 have looked a little steadier, with a recent win over CTBC Flying Oyster and a series victory against Dplus Kia in their recent results. Movistar KOI have also beaten CTBC Flying Oyster and Bilibili Gaming, yet their 0-2 loss to Dplus Kia and 0-3 defeat to G2 Esports underline how vulnerable they can be when an opponent controls the pace.

The early game is the most intriguing contrast. Movistar KOI average +2,486 gold, compared with T1’s -627, and their team early-game score is 7.5/10 against T1’s 4.4/10. Myrwn’s +188 gold differential at 15 minutes is a promising lane advantage over Doran’s +148, while Jojopyun’s -585 and Supa’s -486 at the same point are potential pressure points for T1 to target. Elyoya, with a 4.5 KDA and 82.4% kill participation, could decide whether KOI’s early leads become objectives and a snowball.

T1’s response may come through Oner and Faker. Oner’s 5.4 KDA and rising trend offer a strong platform, even with a -208 gold differential at 15 minutes in the recent sample. Faker’s 4.6 KDA and +6 at 15 minutes point to a stable mid lane, while Doran has shown he can take over on Jayce. In the draft, expect Nocturne and Vi to draw serious ban consideration: they have 94.1% and 78.4% tournament presence, respectively. If Vi reaches the first rotation, her 83.3% win rate over 6 games makes her a compelling B1 candidate; Jarvan IV is another possible early pick.

The available recent results show no direct Movistar KOI-T1 meeting, so there is no head-to-head result here to outweigh the current form and matchup indicators. Polymarket, a real-money prediction market, gives Movistar KOI just 14.5% to win and T1 85.5%. That gap reflects T1’s stronger Worlds placing and the individual quality of Faker and Oner, while KOI’s uneven recent losses make their excellent average gold differential harder to trust across a full best-of-three.

T1 should win, with the market’s 85.5% probability supported by their stronger overall profile, unless Movistar KOI’s early gold advantage consistently survives T1’s draft and mid-game response.

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