Disguised vs Sentinels Prediction & Odds — LCS (Aug 23, 2026)
Disguised vs Sentinels prediction for LCS: model probability, Polymarket odds, head-to-head record and draft preview.
Disguised20.5%
Sentinels79.5%El mercado de predicción da a Sentinels el 80% de probabilidades de llevarse la serie. Disguised parte como claro underdog con solo un 20%.
TL;DR: Disguised 20.5% vs Sentinels 79.5%. Sentinels are the clear prediction because their superior recent form, stronger early-game gold profiles, and decisive Polymarket backing create a major edge before draft even begins. Disguised need an exceptional series from their improving solo lanes to overturn it.
Sentinels arrive in fourth place at 9W-10L (47.4%) and have won 3W-2L across their last five series, including victories over FlyQuest and Dignitas. Disguised sit seventh at 5W-12L (29.4%), with just 1W-4L recently, although their 2-0 win over Dignitas showed the team can punish an opponent when its coordinated fights connect.
The early-game matchup heavily favors Sentinels. Their average total gold difference is -919 against Disguised’s -3,382, while HamBak holds a +329 GD@15 edge and DARKWINGS posts +468. By contrast, Disguised’s bot lane is under particular pressure: sajed averages -1,087 GD@15, making Rahel’s +299 lane profile a likely focal point. Disguised can still look to Srtty, whose +115 GD@15 and 3.7 KDA offer a tangible top-side route to stability.
Draft could make that route narrower. Varus carries 71.8% presence and a 58.5% ban rate, and Disguised already bans the champion in 48.9% of drafts, so another removal is highly plausible. Sentinels should also consider Orianna as a B1 option after its 80% WR in 10G, while Ryze at 70% WR in 10G gives them another strong mid-lane scaling choice. No head-to-head result was supplied in the available record, leaving current form and matchup data as the cleaner guide.
Polymarket makes Sentinels the overwhelming market favorite at 79.5%, leaving Disguised at 20.5%. That real-money signal aligns with Sentinels’ better 3W-2L form, their jungle and mid GD@15 advantages, and Disguised’s persistent team-wide gold deficit, especially through bot lane.
Sentinels should win this BO3 at 79.5% because their early-game advantages and more reliable recent form give Disguised too many deficits to solve.
FAQ
Q: Who is favored between Disguised and Sentinels?
Sentinels are favored at 79.5% on Polymarket, supported by their 9W-10L (47.4%) record and stronger early-game numbers.
Q: Which player could decide Disguised vs Sentinels?
HamBak could decide the series with a 5.8 KDA, 75.6% kill participation, and +329 GD@15. If KryRa can match that tempo, Disguised’s upset chances improve.
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