CTBC Flying Oyster vs Movistar KOI Prediction & Odds — Worlds (Oct 24, 2026)
CTBC Flying Oyster vs Movistar KOI prediction for Worlds: model probability, Polymarket odds, head-to-head record and draft preview.
TL;DR: CTBC Flying Oyster 31.5% vs Movistar KOI 68.5%. Movistar KOI are favored because their +3,555 average gold difference and lower average deaths point to a stronger, more reliable game state than CTBC’s.
Both teams enter this Worlds BO1 with a 1W-0L record, but their recent results offer different signals. Movistar KOI have won 4 of their last 5 series, including a 1-0 victory over Bilibili Gaming, while CTBC Flying Oyster are 3-2 across their last five. CTBC’s recent wins show they can punish mistakes, yet their losses to Team Secret Whales underline the risk of inconsistency. There is no head-to-head result in the supplied record, so this matchup turns on current form and execution rather than a documented rivalry.
The early-game numbers favor Movistar KOI: their average gold difference is +3,555, compared with CTBC’s +691, and they average 11.2 kills against while CTBC average 14.5. Myrwn’s +346 gold difference at 15 minutes gives KOI a clear top-lane foothold, though CTBC’s Shad0w has a +162 figure at the same mark. The key question is whether Shad0w can use that edge to create early pressure before KOI’s broader advantages take hold.
Watch Elyoya’s 7.5 KDA and 82.9% kill participation against Shad0w’s 6.1 KDA and 73.9% kill participation. Elyoya’s recent Jarvan IV game ended with 14 assists, making his engage potential central to KOI’s plan. CTBC can answer through Doggo, who holds a 29.4% damage share, but his -321 average gold difference at 15 suggests he may need support to reach his carry window.
Draft should shape that contest. Nocturne has 93.3% presence and an 83.3% ban rate, making an early ban a strong possibility. If available, Vi looks like a credible B1: she has 66.7% presence, a 100% win rate over 6 games, and a perfect 100% across 4 Worlds B1 picks in the supplied sample. Jarvan IV is another recorded B1 option, winning 75% over 4 games.
Polymarket gives Movistar KOI 68.5% and CTBC Flying Oyster 31.5%. That gap reflects KOI’s stronger recent series record, much larger average gold lead, and lower kills against; CTBC’s win over Team Liquid and Shad0w’s early numbers keep the upset within reach, but the market sees KOI as the more dependable side.
Movistar KOI are the pick at 68.5% because their gold advantage and steadier defensive numbers give them more ways to control a BO1.
FAQ
Q: Why are Movistar KOI favored over CTBC Flying Oyster?
KOI have a +3,555 average gold difference and a 4-1 record across their last five series, compared with CTBC’s +691 and 3-2.
Q: Which player could decide CTBC Flying Oyster vs Movistar KOI?
Elyoya could set the pace with his 7.5 KDA and 82.9% kill participation. If Shad0w turns his +162 gold difference at 15 minutes into early pressure, CTBC have a route to an upset.