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Game 2

Disguised Extend LCS Lead Behind Srtty’s Vayne

By Draftlol Analysis Desk

Disguised defied 18% Game 2 odds against Cloud9 as Srtty’s Vayne dominated top lane and Lyonz’s Shen sealed a 46:50 LCS upset.

Cloud9Cloud9
Game 246:50LCS
DisguisedDisguisedWinner
10Kills24
87.0KGold95.8K
3Drag5
5Torres10

Top players by damage

Bard
SupportVulcan
1/3/9100% KP1.3 CS/m
Shen
SupportLyonz
0/1/2188% KP1.2 CS/m
Naafiri
JungleKryRa
5/0/1583% KP6.7 CS/m
Polymarketmarket probability · Cloud9 · DisguisedUPSET
Game (draft close)Disguised won (18% pre-game)
83%·18%
Series (now)post-game · 0-1
80%·20%
Series (draft close)pre-game anchor
96%·4%
Δ Series after this game: -16.0pp for Cloud9

TL;DR: With their series lead at stake, Disguised ignored an 18% market chance to beat Cloud9 in Game 2. Srtty turned Vayne into the decisive top-lane weapon, while Lyonz’s near-flawless Shen support transformed a long LCS fight into a statement win.

Key Takeaways

  • Srtty built a huge +1146 gold@15 advantage on Vayne, then converted it into an 11/3/8 score that broke Cloud9 top side.
  • Lyonz posted a remarkable 21.00 KDA on Shen, supplying 21 assists as Disguised repeatedly protected their carries.
  • Disguised won the kill race 24-10, took 10 towers, and finished with 95.8k gold to Cloud9 87.0k after 46:50.

Early Game

Cloud9 arrived in this LCS 2026 meeting as the heavily backed side, carrying a 14W-4L record and an earlier 89.5% market expectation. The pre-match spotlight was on Blaber, whose 77.3% kill participation and 3.5 KDA made early jungle control seem essential to Cloud9 plan.

Instead, Disguised found the lane that mattered most. Srtty’s Vayne opened a +1146 gold lead by 15 minutes over Thanatos’s Renekton, denying the bruiser any comfortable route into later fights. Cloud9 bottom lane held its ground initially, where Tactical on Ezreal carried a +158 gold@15 edge, but the map was already tilting elsewhere.

The pre-draft watch list correctly identified Ryze, and the champion did appear. Yet Loki’s Ryze finished 3/5/5 with a -688 gold@15 deficit, unable to become the scaling centerpiece the prediction anticipated.

The Turning Point

The live draft model gave Disguised a narrow 51% edge, and that edge materialized through execution rather than a single flashy engage. KryRa made Naafiri impossible to punish, ending 5/0/15 while turning every opening into pressure around objectives.

Cloud9 could still contest the map with 3 dragons and 2 barons, but Disguised matched the baron count at 2 and claimed 5 dragons. Their 10 towers to Cloud9 5 told the deeper story: every successful fight created permanent territory, not merely another kill.

Closing Out

As the game stretched past 40 minutes, Disguised’s composition kept finding ways to force Cloud9 into bad ground. Callme’s Taliyah contributed 5/2/11, using terrain control to make the top-side carry’s targets easier to reach.

Lyonz then anchored the final sequence on Shen, finishing 0/1/21 and repeatedly denying Cloud9 the first pick they needed. With 24 kills to 10, a 95.8k to 87.0k gold advantage, and control of the last structures, Disguised closed a result that reshaped the series momentum.

Polymarket Market

Polymarket did not read this individual game correctly: Cloud9 were 82% at draft close while Disguised stood at 18%, despite the live draft model’s 51% lean toward the eventual winners. The market saw Cloud9 stronger season record, but it did not price in how completely Vayne could exploit top lane or how reliably Shen could stabilize every fight. The wider series market had also favored Cloud9 90% before Game 1, so the day has flipped the narrative. After this win, Cloud9 fell from 96% to 80%, while Disguised rose from 4% to 20%, signaling renewed belief that the underdogs can carry this pressure into the next game.

Match Stats

PlayerTeamChampionRoleK/D/AGoldDiff@15DMG%
TacticalCloud9EzrealBot5/4/3+158
BlaberCloud9SkarnerJungle1/6/5-263
LokiCloud9RyzeMid3/5/5-688
VulcanCloud9BardSupport1/3/9+113
ThanatosCloud9RenektonTop0/6/1-1146
sajedDisguisedZiggsBot3/4/15-158
KryRaDisguisedNaafiriJungle5/0/15+263
CallmeDisguisedTaliyahMid5/2/11+688
LyonzDisguisedShenSupport0/1/21-113
SrttyDisguisedVayneTop11/3/8+1146

FAQ

Q: Why was Srtty’s Vayne the key to Disguised’s upset?

Srtty created a +1146 gold@15 lead and ended 11/3/8, giving Disguised a carry Cloud9 could not contain.

Q: Did Disguised’s 51% draft edge matter in Game 2?

Yes. The 51% draft projection was validated by Disguised’s superior objective control, including 5 dragons and 10 towers.

*Odds via Polymarket, 2026-08-08 21:41 UTC.*