G2 NORD vs Solary: Dr. Mundo Tests Sion in EMEA Masters

TL;DR: G2 NORD face Solary in EMEA Masters Game 3 with a draft-model prediction of 40% for G2 NORD and 60% for Solary. The defining lane test is Shelfmade’s Sion into Kryze’s Dr. Mundo: Dr. Mundo has won 70.0% of 10 global games against Sion, while Shelfmade has only 2 EMEA Masters games on Sion.

Solary’s Dr. Mundo pick gives Kryze a deliberate-looking answer to Shelfmade’s Sion, backed by that 70.0% global matchup record. The sample is small, and Dr. Mundo has no season EMEA Masters matchup games in the supplied data; G2 NORD need Sion to hold the lane long enough for their stronger-looking mid-game control to matter.

Compositions: G2 NORD vs Solary

G2 NORD’s Sion, Trundle, Cassiopeia, Jhin and Karma offer layered engage, pick potential and teamfight control. Early on, Markoon’s Trundle can contest objectives or exploit Pantheon’s movement, while Jhin and Karma provide poke and setup. Cassiopeia gives G2 NORD a powerful mid-game fight threat, but their late-game plan depends on protecting her and finding reliable access through Sion.

Solary’s Dr. Mundo, Pantheon, Orianna, Yunara and Lulu combine side-lane durability with burst engage and scaling. Pantheon can seek early ganks and roams; later, Orianna’s ultimate can turn a Pantheon engage into a decisive teamfight. Yunara and Lulu provide a strong late-game carry pairing, supported by Orianna’s 56.59% duo synergy with Yunara over 24.31 weighted games in the model data.

Key Picks and Stats

Top lane is the clearest counter-pick story. Shelfmade’s Sion has a 48.2% global WR over 1044G and a 58.3% EMEA Masters WR over 84G, but just a 50.0% WR over 2G in the tournament, with a 1.6 KDA. Kryze’s Dr. Mundo sits at 49.7% globally and 52.5% in EMEA Masters; his 70.0% matchup WR over 10G against Sion is notable, but not conclusive.

In the jungle, Markoon’s Trundle posts a 53.1% global WR over 441G, though his EMEA Masters mark is 48.7% over 39G and his event WR on the champion is 25.0% over 4G, with a 5.0 KDA. Zicssi’s Pantheon has a 45.4% global WR over 1217G and 49.4% over 81G in the league; his event record is 100.0% over 2G, with a 14.5 KDA. Pantheon’s global matchup WR against Trundle is 52.9% over 34G, but drops to 33.3% over 3 EMEA Masters games.

Mid is a statistical opening for G2 NORD: Toasty’s Cassiopeia has a 56.0% global WR over 770G, 54.4% over 79 EMEA Masters games, and 100.0% over 3 event games, with a 4.6 KDA. Jool’s Orianna is at 50.8% globally and 45.2% in the league, yet 100.0% over 2 event games with an 11.3 KDA. Cassiopeia leads their global matchup 60.4% to 39.6% over 53G; in EMEA Masters, that split is 75.0% to 25.0% over 4G.

Bot and support favor Solary’s recent tournament numbers. rin’s Jhin has a 45.2% global WR over 1034G, 40.0% over 70 league games, and 83.3% over 6 event games with a 7.8 KDA. Aetinoth’s Yunara is at 50.9% globally and 53.3% in EMEA Masters, with a 75.0% WR over 8 event games. Piero’s Lulu has a 54.9% league WR, including 55.6% over 9 event games; Tockimo’s Karma is at 39.4% in the league and 25.0% over 4 event games. Yunara’s EMEA Masters matchup WR against Jhin is 42.9% over 7G, while Lulu’s against Karma is 66.7% over 18G.

Draft Edge

Solary get the more cohesive scaling package: Yunara and Lulu pair well, Dr. Mundo challenges Sion, and Pantheon can activate Orianna’s engage. G2 NORD’s best route is to use Trundle and Cassiopeia to control the mid-game and exploit the favorable Cassiopeia–Orianna history. Their pick composition can punish Solary before Yunara reaches her strongest late-game fights.

Polymarket Market

Polymarket, a real-money prediction market, prices Game 3 at G2 NORD 30% and Solary 70%; the Series market now stands at G2 NORD 22% and Solary 78%. No series pre-match odds were supplied, so the size or direction of any movement cannot be established. The Game market is 8 percentage points more optimistic for G2 NORD than the Series market, consistent with a map-specific chance for G2 NORD despite Solary’s stronger overall series position. The market’s Solary lean fits the Dr. Mundo counter-pick and Solary’s scaling bot lane, while G2 NORD’s mid matchup offers a path to an upset.

Prediction

The model favors Solary 60% to 40%, and the market is even more confident in Solary for Game 3. G2 NORD’s Cassiopeia matchup and strong recent team form (0.700 model score against Solary’s 0.800) keep the map competitive, but Solary’s series momentum matters: they won Game 1, G2 NORD answered in Game 2, and the deciding Game 3 now tests whether G2 NORD can convert its mid-game edge.

FAQ

*Data: draftlol live draft model + Polymarket, draft close.*