Team WE vs FlyQuest: Ivern Gamble Shapes the DCGI Game 3 Draft

TL;DR: Xi'an Team WE face FlyQuest in DCGI Game 3, with the draft model giving Team WE 46% and FlyQuest 54%. The clearest draft fact is FlyQuest’s Ivern: Gryffinn has a 33.3% global WR over 15G, while Team WE drafted a more direct engage package around Jarvan IV, Alistar, and Sion.

Compositions: Xi'an Team WE vs FlyQuest

Team WE’s Sion, Jarvan IV, Akali, Ashe, and Alistar form a straightforward engage and teamfight composition. Monki’s Jarvan IV and Erha’s Alistar can start fights, while Cube’s Sion adds a second frontline threat. Ashe’s arrow offers pick potential before objectives, and Karis’s Akali can dive the backline. In the early game, this draft needs reliable setup and coordinated ganks; in the mid game, it can force fights around vision and objectives. Team WE wants to reach late-game teamfights with Ashe and Akali able to follow the engage.

FlyQuest’s Jayce, Ivern, Tristana, Ziggs, and Nautilus offer poke, ranged waveclear, and some counter-engage. The composition can pressure lanes and soften opponents before committing, with Nautilus providing the primary catch and Ivern supporting carries. Its challenge is that FlyQuest lacks Team WE’s layered initiation. It needs to control space and avoid being caught by Jarvan IV or Alistar before its poke has taken effect.

Key Picks and Stats

Top lane pits Cube’s Sion against Gakgos’s Jayce. Sion has a 48.2% global WR over 1051G, while Jayce sits at 46.5% over 1016G. In their specific matchup, Sion has 49.6% over 137G, compared with Jayce’s 50.4% over 137G—a narrow Jayce edge.

In jungle, Monki’s Jarvan IV has a 50.5% global WR over 1662G. Gryffinn’s Ivern has just 33.3% over 15G, making this a risky pick rather than a proven comfort choice. Mid lane is close: Karis’s Akali has a 51.6% global WR over 668G, while Quad’s Tristana is at 50.0% over 230G. The model’s matchup sample favors Tristana slightly, at 52.38% over 6G to Akali’s 47.62% over 6G, but that sample is small.

Bot lane favors Team WE on the available head-to-head numbers. About’s Ashe posts 55.2% over 916G and 60.0% over 25G against Ziggs; Massu’s Ziggs has 45.4% over 368G and 40.0% over 25G against Ashe. Support also leans toward WE: Erha’s Alistar has 54.6% over 819G, including 57.7% over 111G versus Nautilus, while Cryogen’s Nautilus records 46.2% over 1288G and 42.3% over 111G versus Alistar.

The pre-draft forecast highlighted Lucian as a possible B1 and expected bans on Ezreal, Ambessa, and Cassiopeia from Team WE. The final picks do not confirm Lucian, and the available draft information does not show whether those bans occurred. Ivern is the clearest departure from the forecast: it was not among FlyQuest’s expected signature options and carries a low global WR.

Draft Edge

Team WE has the more coherent engage tools and stronger listed bot-lane matchup data. FlyQuest can win through Jayce and Ziggs poke, Tristana’s follow-up damage, and Ivern’s protection, but that plan depends on controlling approach angles. If Jarvan IV and Alistar find an opening, FlyQuest’s backline may struggle to disengage.

Polymarket Market

Polymarket gives Team WE 74% and FlyQuest 26% for Game 3. The Series market is 76%–24% for Team WE now, compared with 80%–20% before the match. That is a 4.0 percentage-point move away from Team WE. The Game price is only 2 points below Team WE’s Series price, consistent with a deciding G3 in a BO3: Polymarket reuses the series moneyline rather than creating a separate per-game market, so these are effectively the same market snapshot.

The market is substantially more bullish on Team WE than the draft model. Its engage, plus the Ashe–Ziggs and Alistar–Nautilus lane edges, may help explain that confidence. The model’s slight preference for FlyQuest instead reflects its stronger team form signal and caution about predicting a result from lane statistics alone.

Prediction

The model’s starting call is FlyQuest 54%, Xi'an Team WE 46%. The draft’s stronger engage and bot-lane matchup numbers justify a modest adjustment to Team WE 49%, FlyQuest 51%, rather than simply following the market. FlyQuest’s 0.700 team-form signal is a counterweight, while Gryffinn’s Ivern record makes execution a particular risk.

FAQ

*Data: draftlol live draft model + Polymarket, draft close.*