Zest’s Tristana Topples the Market in Worlds Game 3
LØS defied a 26% game-market chance as Zest’s Tristana powered a 47:20 win over Team Liquid to take the Worlds 2026 series.


Zest's top-lane lead and LØS's dragon control defied the 26% game-market chance.
MVP
Finished 10/1/3 with +1508 gold at 15 and 76% KP.
Verified predictions
- Live draft model favored Team Liquid at 51%. They lost — confirm whether the draft edge materialized in-game. Pre-match
TL;DR: With the series lead at stake, LØS ignored a market that gave them just 26% to win and beat Team Liquid in 47:20. Zest’s Tristana seized the top-lane advantage, finishing 10/1/3 with a +1508 gold difference at 15 minutes, while LØS claimed 5 dragons to 2 and closed out the Worlds 2026 series.
Key Takeaways
- Zest turned Tristana’s +1508 gold difference at 15 minutes into a 10/1/3 carry performance that defined the game.
- LØS took 5 dragons to 2, building an objective advantage that helped overcome Team Liquid’s 2 barons.
- The live draft model favored Team Liquid at 51%, but the edge did not materialize: LØS won 17-5 and finished with 91.4k gold.
Early Game
The series was tied, so Game 3 meant the winner would seize the lead—and ultimately close the contest. The pre-match market had leaned strongly toward Team Liquid, but the game market narrowed that judgment: at draft close, LØS still received only 26%. On the map, however, the underdog’s top-side plan began to look far more convincing than that number suggested.
Zest’s Tristana got ahead early, reaching +1508 gold at 15 minutes. That lead was more than an isolated lane statistic: it gave LØS a powerful source of damage and pressure while Team Liquid’s Gnar fell behind by the same margin. Across the map, Curse’s Pantheon went 4/0/7, and Feisty’s Taliyah added 12 assists. Their involvement helped LØS connect its early pressure to fights and objectives.
The Turning Point
Team Liquid had routes back into the game. Its two Baron captures offered a chance to make progress across the map, and Yeon’s Yunara dealt 34.9% of his team’s damage. Yet LØS repeatedly made its dragon control count, collecting 5 dragons against Team Liquid’s 2. That steady objective advantage kept the match from becoming a clean reset around Baron.
Zest’s 10/1/3 line was the clearest sign of the mismatch. He accounted for 76% of LØS’s kills or assists, turning his lane lead into a presence in the decisive fights. Team Liquid’s Viktor, meanwhile, finished 0/5/5. The live draft model’s 51% preference for Team Liquid did not translate into an in-game edge: LØS’s execution and top-lane advantage overwhelmed the forecast.
Closing Out
LØS finished with 17 kills to 5, 10 towers to 6, and 91.4k gold to 81.6k. The game lasted 47:20, giving Team Liquid time to use its Baron control, but not enough to erase LØS’s growing lead in dragons, kills, and map pressure. Zest’s Tristana supplied the damage; the rest of LØS’s composition helped keep the advantage connected.
Polymarket Market
The game market read this one incorrectly. At draft close, Team Liquid stood at 74% and LØS at 26%, yet LØS won 17-5 and ended nearly 10k gold ahead. The market’s confidence in Team Liquid’s draft did not account for how decisively Zest built his top-lane lead, or how LØS converted that pressure into 5 dragons. Before the series, the market had also favored Team Liquid, at 80% to LØS’s 20%. This result closes the series at Team Liquid 1-2 LØS; the full series-market wrap-up belongs in the series recap.
FAQ
Q: Why did the live draft model’s Team Liquid edge fail to materialize?
The model favored Team Liquid at 51%, but LØS converted Zest’s +1508 gold difference at 15 minutes and its 5 dragons into a decisive win.
Q: How did LØS overturn the game market’s prediction?
LØS entered at 26% at draft close and won 17-5, with Zest finishing 10/1/3 on Tristana.
*Odds via Polymarket, 2026-10-30 22:57 UTC.*