Can Disguised Pull an Upset Against the Dominant Team Liquid?

As the LCS continues its intense 2026 campaign, all eyes turn to a matchup that, on paper, looks like a massive mismatch. Team Liquid enters this best-of-three series as a powerhouse, sitting third in the standings with a formidable 70.0% win rate. They have been clinical recently, securing wins against heavyweights like Cloud9 and Dignitas. In stark contrast, Disguised is struggling to find their footing, languishing in sixth place with a mere 33.3% win rate and a recent form that has seen them drop four of their last five series.

The statistical gulf between these two squads is most evident in the early game. Team Liquid boasts an incredible average total gold differential of +7,788, driven by overwhelming lane dominance. Their bot lane, led by Yeon, is particularly terrifying, maintaining a massive +704 gold lead at the fifteen-handle mark. Meanwhile, Disguised is fighting an uphill battle, averaging a gold deficit of -4,521 and struggling with a bottom lane that often falls behind by over 1,000 gold.

Individual matchups will likely decide how quickly this series could end. For Team Liquid, Josedeodo remains a central pillar in the jungle, bringing a staggering 8.8 KDA and a high 75.0% kill participation. If he can utilize the high-impact jungle meta, specifically on champions like Nocturne, Disguised will have no answer. On the other side, Disguised needs KryRa to find a way to stabilize his jungle pathing, as his current -441 gold differential at fifteen minutes is a recipe for disaster against a proactive team.

Tactically, the draft will revolve around the current LCS meta, where Ambessa has revolutionized the jungle with a 100% win rate in recent appearances. We expect the first phase of the draft to see intense competition for Ambessa and Orianna. If Team Liquid can secure these priority picks to complement Quid's mid-lane pressure, the game may be over before the mid-game even begins. Disguised must find a way to disrupt the lane dominance of players like Morgan and Yeon to even stand a chance.

Team Liquid 78% vs Disguised 22%. The sheer disparity in early game gold leads and recent win rates makes a Team Liquid victory the most probable outcome, though a sudden meta shift could provide a spark for the underdogs. Confidence level: HIGH.