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Team Liquid vs Bilibili Gaming Prediction & Odds — Worlds (Oct 25, 2026)

Team Liquid vs Bilibili Gaming prediction for Worlds: model probability, Polymarket odds, head-to-head record and draft preview.

PRE-MATCHWorldsMain EventBo1
Team Liquid
Team Liquid
Bo1
Bilibili Gaming
Bilibili Gaming
Polymarket
25.5%74.5%

TL;DR: Team Liquid 24.5% vs Bilibili Gaming 75.5%. Bilibili Gaming are favored because Knight’s +227 gold differential at 15 minutes and the team’s stronger recent results give them a clear edge, despite both teams opening Worlds with a loss.

Team Liquid’s latest Worlds result was a 0-1 loss to CTBC Flying Oyster, but their broader recent form is encouraging: 4 wins in their last 5 series, including victories over Cloud9 and FlyQuest. Bilibili Gaming have won 3 of their last 5 series and arrive after a 0-1 loss to Movistar KOI. The records are close enough to make this BO1 intriguing, but the snapshot of recent results gives Liquid a slight form advantage.

The early-game numbers underline how close the matchup could be. Liquid average +5,237 gold overall, compared with BLG’s +4,511, and both teams have a 9.0/10 early-game score. The mid-lane contrast may decide whether those advantages translate into control: Quid averages -344 gold at 15, while Knight is at +227. Josedeodo, meanwhile, has a 7.1 KDA and +313 gold at 15, but Xun’s 76.0% kill participation makes his jungle influence hard to ignore.

Watch Yeon and CoreJJ for Liquid, especially if their bot lane can turn Yeon’s 27.0% damage share into pressure. For BLG, Knight’s 6.0 KDA and 25.5% damage share make him a central carry threat, while Bin can test Liquid’s response in the top lane. Both teams have recently used champions such as Camille and Ambessa, so those picks could shape the draft; expect Liquid to consider limiting Knight’s champion pool, while BLG may target Josedeodo’s Lee Sin.

There is no head-to-head result in the supplied match data, so this preview cannot lean on a recent series between these teams. In a BO1, that uncertainty makes draft execution especially important: Liquid need to protect their mid lane and turn Josedeodo’s early activity into objectives before BLG’s carries take over.

Polymarket’s real-money market puts Team Liquid at 24.5% and Bilibili Gaming at 75.5% to win. That strong BLG lean reflects Knight’s positive mid-lane gold numbers and BLG’s dangerous carry potential, even though Liquid have the better recent series record and higher average gold differential. The market sees BLG as the likelier winner, not an unstoppable one.

Team Liquid have a path through early jungle pressure, but Bilibili Gaming’s stronger mid-lane profile and market-backed 75.5% win probability make them the pick.

FAQ

Q: Which team is favored, Team Liquid or Bilibili Gaming?

Bilibili Gaming are favored at 75.5% on Polymarket, compared with Team Liquid at 24.5%.

Q: Which player could decide Team Liquid vs Bilibili Gaming?

Knight could decide it: he averages +227 gold at 15 minutes, while Quid averages -344. If Josedeodo’s 7.1 KDA helps Liquid control the early game, though, the matchup could swing.

Next chapter, Draft G1Team Liquid vs Bilibili Gaming: K’Sante’s Worlds Test