Solary vs Movistar KOI Fénix Prediction & Odds — World Star Challengers Invitational (Sep 27, 2026)
Solary vs Movistar KOI Fénix prediction for World Star Challengers Invitational: model probability, Polymarket odds, head-to-head record and draft preview.


TL;DR: Solary 75.5% vs Movistar KOI Fénix 24.5%. Solary arrive undefeated at 6W-0L with a flawless 5-0 run in their last five series, while KOI Fénix have dropped two of their last five and carry a visibly weaker recent form score. The strongest single reason is the bot lane gap: Aetinoth is averaging a +982 gold difference at 15 minutes, and that pressure should decide the series.
Solary come into this Best of 5 as the clear form team of the World Star Challengers Invitational. A 100% record across six series, completed wins over Saigon Warriors, Galions and ZSK, and an 8.7/10 form score tell the story of a roster that has learned how to close games without drama. Their average game lasts 33.2 minutes, and they generate +4,295 gold in total differential while averaging 18.2 kills per game. Movistar KOI Fénix sit second at 6W-2L (75.0%), and their last five series read 3W-2L, including losses to Bilibili Gaming Junior and KT Rolster Challengers. Their 6.5/10 form score reflects a team that wins when it snowballs early but struggles when the game slows down, an important detail given their very short 29.1-minute average duration.
The player to watch is Aetinoth. Across the last eight games the Solary bot laner posted a 6.1 KDA, a 30.6% damage share and a +982 GD@15, with a rising KDA trend and champions like Jhin, Lucian and Yunara. His +642 GD@10 is the highest on the server, and into a KOI Fénix bot lane where 13 sits at +524 GD@15, the early two-versus-two is the most likely place for this series to break. Up top, Kryze holds a +640 GD@15 against a NightSlayer sitting at -411, a laning matchup Solary should win by default.
Draft tendencies matter here. Vi has converted a 100% WR over 4 games from the blue-side first pick, while Yunara, Lucian and Qiyana all sit at 75% over 4. Expect Solary to flex a resilient answer to KOI Fénix's probable first-pick Rumble, and watch whether Jarvan IV, undefeated at 100% over 3 in the blue-side P4 window, is banned away early. XnS on Qiyana is KOI Fénix's best route to an early snowball.
Polymarket, a real-money prediction market, prices this at Solary 75.5% and Movistar KOI Fénix 24.5%. The market is reading the same signals we are: an unbeaten 6W-0L record, a +4,295 gold differential, and a bot lane mismatch worth nearly 1,400 gold at 15 minutes. The 24.5% for KOI Fénix is not disrespect, it is the price of a two-loss recent stretch against stronger opposition.
Solary should take this series, and the win probability of 75.5% reflects an unbeaten record, superior late-game structure and a bot lane that has been dominant all split.
FAQ
Q: Who is favored in Solary vs Movistar KOI Fénix, and why?
Solary are heavily favored at 75.5% on Polymarket, backed by a 6W-0L record and a +4,295 gold average differential against KOI Fénix's 6W-2L.
Q: Which player will decide Solary vs Movistar KOI Fénix?
Aetinoth is the deciding factor, averaging a 6.1 KDA, a 30.6% damage share and a +982 GD@15 that dwarfs the +524 posted by his opposite number 13.