Sentinels vs FlyQuest Prediction & Odds — LCS (Sep 13, 2026)
Sentinels vs FlyQuest prediction for LCS: model probability, Polymarket odds, head-to-head record and draft preview.
TL;DR: Sentinels 48.5% vs FlyQuest 51.5%. FlyQuest are the narrow prediction because the market favors their stronger current momentum and Gryffinn’s 7.0 KDA, but Sentinels’ recent 2-0 head-to-head win makes this an extremely volatile BO5.
Sentinels arrive fourth in the LCS at 10W-11L (47.6%), with a 3W-2L record across their past five series. Their form score is only 5.7/10, yet their clean 2-0 victory over FlyQuest remains the most relevant direct evidence for this matchup. FlyQuest sit fifth at 10W-12L (45.5%) and are 2W-3L in their last five, although their 6.4/10 form score reflects how convincing their recent wins over Shopify Rebellion and Dignitas were.
The early-game contrast could define the series. Sentinels hold a modest average total gold difference of +99, while FlyQuest carry a damaging -2,730 mark. HamBak is Sentinels’ main route to a snowball, posting +498 GD@15 and an 80.9% kill participation rate. FlyQuest counter with Gryffinn, whose +437 GD@15, 82.0% kill participation and rising KDA trend make him the player most capable of turning contested river fights into a map-wide advantage.
In the lanes, DARKWINGS has a +107 GD@15 edge while Quad sits at -130, though Quad’s rising trend and 28.6% damage share suggest FlyQuest can still play through mid-game teamfights. Bot lane is another pressure point: Rahel supplies 28.4% of Sentinels’ damage despite -196 GD@15, while FlyQuest must prevent his Caitlyn, Yunara, and Ezreal comfort pool from reaching scaling safely.
Draft should revolve around premium bans. Orianna brings 69.6% presence and a 48.7% ban rate, while Nocturne reaches 66.1% presence with a 50.4% ban rate. If available, Orianna is the most logical B1 look after its 72.7% WR in 11 games; Sentinels may instead prioritize Caitlyn, who has a 75% WR in 4 games, to give Rahel lane control.
Polymarket makes FlyQuest the slight favorite at 51.5%, against 48.5% for Sentinels. That narrow margin fits FlyQuest’s superior form score, Gryffinn’s rising production, and Sentinels’ uneven recent losses, but it also respects Sentinels’ better overall early gold profile and their recent 2-0 win in this exact matchup.
FlyQuest have the market edge at 51.5% because Gryffinn’s form offers the steadier carry path, but Sentinels’ early-game advantages and prior 2-0 result leave the series close.
FAQ
Q: Who is favored between Sentinels and FlyQuest?
FlyQuest are narrowly favored at 51.5% on Polymarket, but Sentinels’ recent 2-0 win over FlyQuest means the edge is far from decisive.
Q: Which player will decide Sentinels vs FlyQuest?
Gryffinn is the key player for FlyQuest with a 7.0 KDA, +437 GD@15, and 82.0% kill participation. HamBak’s +498 GD@15 gives Sentinels an equally important early-game answer.