RED Canids vs Vivo Keyd Stars Prediction & Odds — CBLOL (Sep 19, 2026)
RED Canids vs Vivo Keyd Stars prediction for CBLOL: model probability, Polymarket odds, head-to-head record and draft preview.


TL;DR: RED Canids 46.5% vs Vivo Keyd Stars 53.5%. Vivo Keyd Stars are narrow favorites because the market trusts their stronger recent momentum and Mireu’s 80.6% kill participation more than RED Canids’ struggling team form. RED’s clearest route is allowing Morttheus to turn his bot-lane gold lead into a decisive carry performance.
This is a meeting between the CBLOL’s fourth- and fifth-placed teams, but their trajectories are moving in different directions. RED Canids hold a 16W-13L record against Vivo Keyd Stars’ 13W-14L, yet RED have lost 4 of their last 5 series and carry a 1.3/10 form score. Vivo Keyd Stars have won 2 of their last 5 series, including victories over paiN Gaming and Leviatan, for a healthier 4.3/10 form score. No recent head-to-head record is included in the available data, so current form and matchup-specific lanes matter more than historical narratives.
RED’s best individual advantage sits in bot lane. Morttheus owns a +431 gold difference at 15 minutes, 71.3% kill participation and 31.8% damage share, while Vivo Keyd Stars’ Jeskla is at -486 gold at 15. If Manel can create room for Morttheus on Yunara, Ezreal, or Caitlyn, RED can pressure an opponent whose early-game numbers are also fragile. The concern is that Fuuu has a -601 gold difference at 15, while Mireu is nearly even at -29 and supplies 29.8% of Vivo Keyd Stars’ damage.
Draft should heavily shape this best-of-five. Orianna carries 68% presence and Jarvan IV reaches 62.3% presence, making both plausible early bans or contested picks. RED should particularly consider a B1 Ryze, whose 70.6% win rate from first-pick position pairs dangerously with Yunara at 86% win rate across 7 games and +917 gold difference at 15.
Polymarket makes Vivo Keyd Stars the 53.5% favorite to RED Canids’ 46.5%, and that real-money signal reflects RED’s 1W-4L recent series slide alongside Vivo’s better 2W-3L stretch. The market also recognizes that Mireu’s 80.6% kill participation gives Vivo a more reliable central playmaker than RED’s currently declining solo-lane form.
RED Canids remain live if STEPZ and Manel convert bot priority into early objectives, but Vivo Keyd Stars have the steadier recent profile and the more dependable mid-jungle foundation. RED Canids 46.5% vs Vivo Keyd Stars 53.5% because Vivo’s form and Mireu edge outweigh RED’s dangerous Morttheus lane.
FAQ
Q: Who is favored between RED Canids and Vivo Keyd Stars? A: Vivo Keyd Stars are favored at 53.5% on Polymarket, ahead of RED Canids at 46.5%, largely because Vivo enter with a 4.3/10 form score versus RED’s 1.3/10.
Q: Which player will decide RED Canids vs Vivo Keyd Stars?
Morttheus is RED Canids’ key player with +431 gold at 15 and 31.8% damage share, but Mireu’s 80.6% kill participation makes him Vivo Keyd Stars’ central difference-maker.