Karmine Corp vs Bilibili Gaming Prediction & Odds — Worlds (Oct 26, 2026)
Karmine Corp vs Bilibili Gaming prediction for Worlds: model probability, Polymarket odds, head-to-head record and draft preview.
TL;DR: Karmine Corp 29.5% vs Bilibili Gaming 70.5%. Bilibili Gaming are favored because their +5,912 average gold difference and stronger overall early-game profile give them more ways to control a single game, even as Karmine Corp arrive in better form.
Karmine Corp have won 4 of their last 5 series, including a 1-0 victory over Anyone’s Legend, and sit first at Worlds with a 4W-1L record. Bilibili Gaming are 1W-1L at the tournament, though their recent five-series record is 3W-2L. That contrast makes this BO1 a test of whether Karmine Corp’s momentum can overcome Bilibili Gaming’s higher ceiling. No head-to-head result is provided, so neither side can claim a documented matchup advantage.
The early numbers point in different directions. Bilibili Gaming average 16.5 kills and a +5,912 gold difference, while Karmine Corp average 12.5 kills and +2,755 gold difference. But Karmine Corp’s role-by-role gold leads at 15 minutes are striking: kyeahoo is +752, Caliste +502, and Yike +345. Those lane advantages could give Karmine Corp the initiative if they convert them into objectives rather than letting the game reach Bilibili Gaming’s preferred fights.
For Karmine Corp, kyeahoo is a central watch, with a 7.5 KDA and a rising trend across recent games. Caliste, at 7.1 KDA, adds another route to carry the game. Bilibili Gaming’s Knight brings a 79.4% kill participation and a 28.4% damage share, making his mid-lane influence a likely focal point. In draft, the Worlds meta suggests a first-pick contest around Vi: she has a 100% win rate in 4 games. Nocturne is a prime ban candidate, with 93.3% presence and a 73.3% ban rate, while Bilibili Gaming can turn to Jarvan IV, also a proven first-pick option at 75% in 4 games.
Polymarket gives Karmine Corp a 29.5% chance and Bilibili Gaming a 70.5% chance, making the market’s preference clear. The odds align with Bilibili Gaming’s stronger average gold and kill numbers, while Karmine Corp’s better tournament record and lane leads explain why an upset remains plausible.
Bilibili Gaming should win 70.5% to Karmine Corp’s 29.5%, because their stronger overall resource generation is the safer edge in a BO1.
FAQ
Q: Are Bilibili Gaming favored against Karmine Corp?
Yes. Polymarket gives Bilibili Gaming a 70.5% win probability, supported by their +5,912 average gold difference.
Q: Which player could decide Karmine Corp vs Bilibili Gaming?
kyeahoo could set the pace for Karmine Corp: he has a 7.5 KDA and a +752 average gold difference at 15 minutes.