CTBC Flying Oyster Academy vs Bilibili Gaming Junior Prediction & Odds — World Star Challengers Invitational
CTBC Flying Oyster Academy vs Bilibili Gaming Junior prediction for World Star Challengers Invitational: model probability, Polymarket odds, head-to-head.
TL;DR: CTBC Flying Oyster Academy 27.5% vs Bilibili Gaming Junior 72.5%. Bilibili’s stronger early game and winning head-to-head result make it the clear favorite, while CTBC must find a way to keep its lanes from falling behind.
Bilibili Gaming Junior arrive with a 4W-3L record and sit 5th, despite dropping three of their last five series. CTBC Flying Oyster Academy, by contrast, are 0W-4L in the event and have lost all five of their most recent series. The head-to-head already favors Bilibili: it beat CTBC 1-0 in their earlier meeting, a result that matters all the more in this BO1, where one draft or early skirmish can decide everything.
The sharpest gap is in the opening minutes. CTBC average -10,573 gold overall and have been out-killed 22.5 to 10.8 per game; Bilibili average +2,270 gold and 15.1 kills. Jungler luoyiyu is a major reason for that advantage, posting a 4.9 KDA, +599 average gold at 15 minutes, and 73.1% kill participation. Mid laner Sanling brings a 6.6 KDA, though his average gold at 15 is -488. For CTBC, Zkai has the team’s best lane figure at +569 gold at 15, while Leaky will need a much cleaner start after averaging -938.
The draft could make that jungle matchup even more important. The available pick-order sample flags Vi as a perfect B1 option at 100% WR in 3 games, alongside Lucian at the same rate. CTBC may need to respect Vi, given luoyiyu’s comfort on the champion, while Bilibili could target Jarvan IV, which has been a recurring choice for Leaky. These are limited sample signals, not guarantees, but they point toward a direct contest over early engage and jungle pressure.
Polymarket’s real-money market gives Bilibili 72.5% implied win probability, with CTBC at 27.5%. That gap reflects the teams’ records, Bilibili’s earlier win over CTBC, and especially the contrast between their average gold and kill numbers. The market’s view is consistent with the statistical case: Bilibili has more ways to control the early game, while CTBC needs a major turnaround.
Bilibili Gaming Junior are the pick at 72.5% because their early-game edge and previous 1-0 win give them the more reliable path to victory.
FAQ
Q: Why are Bilibili Gaming Junior favored over CTBC Flying Oyster Academy?
Bilibili are 4W-3L against CTBC’s 0W-4L event record and previously beat them 1-0.
Q: Which player could decide CTBC Flying Oyster Academy vs Bilibili Gaming Junior?
luoyiyu could set the pace: the Bilibili jungler averages a 4.9 KDA and +599 gold at 15 minutes.