Blog

Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI Prediction & Odds — Worlds (Oct 23, 2026)

Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI prediction for Worlds: model probability, Polymarket odds, head-to-head record and draft preview.

PRE-MATCHWorldsMain EventBo1
Bilibili Gaming
Bilibili Gaming
Bo1
Movistar KOI
Movistar KOI
Polymarket
82.0%18.0%

TL;DR: Bilibili Gaming 80.5% vs Movistar KOI 19.5%. Bilibili’s strongest edge is its early-game advantage, led by Viper’s +354 average gold difference at 15 minutes and a team average of +5,821 gold.

Both sides enter this Worlds BO1 with a 4-1 record across their last five series, but the shape of those runs differs. Bilibili Gaming have beaten Anyone’s Legend twice, Team WE and Top Esports, with their only loss coming against Anyone’s Legend. Movistar KOI also arrive with four wins, including victories over Karmine Corp and Natus Vincere, but their latest result was a 0-3 loss to G2 Esports. In a single game, momentum matters, yet Bilibili’s numbers point to more reliable lane pressure.

The lane matchup to watch is Viper against Supa. Viper’s +354 gold difference at 15 contrasts sharply with Supa’s -354, while Viper averages 7.7 KDA and accounts for 31.4% of team damage. Knight also brings a +122 average gold difference at 15, compared with Jojopyun’s -166. For Movistar KOI, Elyoya is a potential swing factor: his 83.9% kill participation gives him a clear route to influence the map, even as his average early gold numbers are slightly negative.

Draft could shape that pressure from the first pick. With Vi at a 100% win rate across 5 games at Worlds and listed as a B1 option with a 100% win rate across 3 games, she is a credible priority pick. Seraphine, whose 68.2% presence leads the tournament, and Olaf, at 63.6% presence, look like leading ban candidates. Ezreal is another possible R3 option, with a 60% win rate across 5 games overall. No direct head-to-head results are provided, so this preview cannot lean on a recent matchup history.

Polymarket, a real-money prediction market, gives Bilibili Gaming 80.5% and Movistar KOI 19.5% implied win probability. That gap fits Bilibili’s stronger average gold lead and the favorable Viper-Supa lane comparison, while Movistar KOI’s four recent series wins and Elyoya’s high kill participation keep them from being a negligible threat.

The pick is Bilibili Gaming at 80.5%, because their early gold and bot-lane advantages offer the clearest path to control a BO1.

FAQ

Q: Who is favored between Bilibili Gaming and Movistar KOI?

Bilibili Gaming are favored at 80.5% on Polymarket, supported by a +5,821 average gold difference.

Q: Which player could decide Bilibili Gaming versus Movistar KOI?

Viper could decide it: he averages +354 gold at 15 minutes, while Supa averages -354.

Next chapter, Draft G1Worlds 2026: Bilibili’s Pantheon Gamble vs Movistar KOI