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GIANTX Find Their Edge as Skarner Holds Game 4

By Draftlol Analysis Desk4 min read

GIANTX survived Natus Vincere’s early pressure, then turned ISMA’s Skarner control and Jun’s Alistar engages into a vital LEC Game 4 win.

GAME 4LECSummer PlayoffsBo5Game 4Patch 26.17
GIANTX
GIANTXWinner
36:30
Natus Vincere
Natus Vincere
Polymarket · Game marketmarket probability · GIANTX · Natus VincereCOIN FLIP
Game (draft close)GIANTX won (49% pre-game)
49%·52%
Series (now)post-game · 2-2
46%·55%
Series (draft close)pre-game anchor
23%·78%
Δ Series after this game: +23.0pp for GIANTX

TL;DR: Facing elimination in the LEC 2026 Summer Playoffs, GIANTX found another gear to beat Natus Vincere in 36:40 and force Game 5. ISMA overcame a difficult early gold deficit on Skarner, while Jun’s Alistar supplied the decisive stability as GIANTX turned a narrow game into a series-saving win.

Key Takeaways

  • GIANTX won the kill race 15-13 and built a 74.6k to 71.6k gold finish, proving their late-game composure could withstand Natus Vincere’s early edge.
  • ISMA recovered from -971 GoldDiff@15 on Skarner to deliver 53% KP, turning the supposed jungle disadvantage into the game’s defining control point.
  • Jun posted a 6.00 KDA with 1/2/11 on Alistar, giving GIANTX the engage insurance needed to equalize the series.

Trading Blows

Natus Vincere entered Game 4 with a 2-1 series lead and the confidence of a 26:10 Game 3 victory. Their early map plan landed: Rhilech on Naafiri held a commanding +971 GoldDiff@15 and created the tempo the pre-match analysis expected.

But GIANTX refused to let that opening become a snowball. Flakked’s Sivir turned a +376 GoldDiff@15 into a lethal 9/3/4 score, providing the late-fight damage that kept every exchange dangerous. With 3 dragons, 8 towers, and an eventual 1 baron, GIANTX steadily made the map more difficult for Natus Vincere to control.

The Deciding Factor

The jungle story was not a simple early lead; it was a recovery story. ISMA’s Skarner absorbed the pressure despite falling -971 in gold at 15 minutes, then found the picks and front-line presence that Natus Vincere could not consistently answer.

Behind him, Jun’s Alistar transformed tight moments into favorable fights. His 1/2/11 line meant he was present whenever GIANTX needed an engage or a rescue, and his 6.00 KDA captured the discipline of a support who did not donate openings. Natus Vincere claimed 2 dragons, 4 towers, and 1 baron, but could not convert their earlier tempo into a clean finish.

What Made the Difference

The live draft model gave GIANTX a slim 51% edge, and that advantage did materialize in-game. The draft’s key deviation was Yorick into Gwen: Oscarinin finished 3/3/6 with a +219 GoldDiff@15, making the side lane a problem rather than the expected weakness.

Jackies added 1/3/9 on Taliyah, using the champion’s walls to blunt dives and limit Natus Vincere’s engage windows. The 15-13 kill score and only 2.9k final gold margin show how close this was, yet GIANTX converted more reliably around structures, winning 8 towers to 4.

Polymarket Market

Polymarket treated Game 4 as nearly even at draft close, listing GIANTX at 48% and Natus Vincere at 52%. That was broadly correct: this was a coin-flip game decided by execution rather than a one-sided draft collapse. The market did not fully account for how effectively GIANTX could survive Rhilech’s early Naafiri advantage and then use Skarner and Alistar to reset the terms of fights. Series pricing told a sharper story: GIANTX rose from 22% at this game’s draft close to 46% after the win, while Natus Vincere fell from 78% to 55%. The pre-series market had favored Natus Vincere 60% to 40%, but Game 4 has restored genuine uncertainty.

FAQ

Q: Why was ISMA’s Skarner so important despite the early deficit?

ISMA was -971 GoldDiff@15, but his 53% KP gave GIANTX the pick threat and front line needed to overturn Natus Vincere’s early jungle control.

Q: Did GIANTX’s draft advantage actually decide Game 4?

The 51% live-model edge proved meaningful because Yorick pressured Gwen while Taliyah, Skarner, and Alistar repeatedly denied clean engage opportunities.

*Odds via Polymarket, 2026-09-11 18:37 UTC.*

Next chapter · Draft G5Natus Vincere vs GIANTX LEC: Ziggs' Risky Pivot