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Game 3

Josedeodo’s Nocturne Drives Team Liquid’s Game 3 Rout

By Draftlol Analysis Desk

Josedeodo’s Nocturne posted 1/0/14 as Team Liquid crushed Shopify Rebellion in 36:00, turning a tied LCS 2026 series into a statement.

Shopify RebellionShopify Rebellion
Game 336:00LCS
Team LiquidTeam LiquidWinner
4Kills17
60.3KGold72.5K
2Drag4
2Torres9
Polymarket

Team Liquid 51% vs Shopify Rebellion 49%

Shopify Rebellion 51.0%·Team Liquid 49.0%·Vol: $1909K

Top players by damage

Skarner
JungleContractz
1/1/3100% KP6.3 CS/m
Anivia
MidZinie
1/4/3100% KP8.6 CS/m
Gnar
TopFudge
2/1/2100% KP9.8 CS/m
Polymarketmarket probability · Team Liquid · Shopify RebellionFAVORITE
Game (draft close)Team Liquid won (79% pre-game)
79%·22%
Series (now)post-game · 1-1
100%·0%
Series (draft close)pre-game anchor
79%·22%
Δ Series after this game: +21.5pp for Team Liquid

TL;DR: With the LCS 2026 series tied 1-1, Josedeodo turned Game 3 into Team Liquid’s statement win: his Nocturne went 1/0/14 while Yeon’s Yunara won bot lane early. Team Liquid’s 17-4 kill rout, two Barons, and 12k gold lead erased Shopify Rebellion’s projected draft edge.

Key Takeaways

  • Josedeodo delivered a flawless 15.00 KDA on Nocturne, creating 88% KP and giving Team Liquid the reliable engage that broke Shopify Rebellion’s formation.
  • Yeon built a +1243 gold@15 advantage on Yunara, converting the bot-lane gap into a 6/2/8 carry performance.
  • Team Liquid finished with a 17-4 kill score and 72.5k to 60.3k gold, turning their one-sided control into 2 Barons and 9 towers.

Building the Lead

The live draft model gave Shopify Rebellion 52%, but that theoretical edge never materialized on the Rift. Their composition needed Lucian to gain a clean early advantage, then use Anivia and Skarner to punish Team Liquid’s engage angles around objectives.

Instead, Bvoy fell behind immediately on Lucian, ending 0/6/1 after losing 1243 gold by 15 minutes. The pressure let Team Liquid dictate the map rather than wait for Shopify Rebellion’s defensive setup. Contractz did find a +241 GoldDiff@15 on Skarner, but his 1/1/3 line could not offset the damage from the collapsing bottom side.

The Numbers Tell the Story

This was not merely a late-game swing. Team Liquid collected 4 dragons to 2, 9 towers to 2, and every neutral objective opened more room for their carries. Morgan’s Kennen remained untouched at 6/0/6, using his +514 GoldDiff@15 to make front-to-back fights impossible for a team already short on damage.

In the middle lane, Quid paired Ahri’s 4/2/8 score with a modest +47 GoldDiff@15, but the value was in the follow-up. Once darkness fell, charms and Nocturne ultimates repeatedly isolated Shopify Rebellion targets before their protection could arrive.

The Final Push

At 36:00, Team Liquid had transformed a close series situation into a complete Game 3 stomp. CoreJJ’s Lulu finished 0/0/15, preserving the team’s threats through every attempted turnaround, while Shopify Rebellion managed only 0 Barons to Liquid’s 2.

The final gold gap of 72.5k to 60.3k explained the finish: Team Liquid had the items, the vision control, and the objective pressure to end without offering a reset. Shopify Rebellion’s 4 kills never became a snowball; Liquid’s lead simply grew until the Nexus push was inevitable.

Polymarket Market

Polymarket read the winner correctly. Team Liquid closed at 78% against Shopify Rebellion’s 22%, and the favorite delivered through superior execution rather than the live draft model’s 52% Shopify lean. The market did not necessarily forecast the scale of the rout: a 17-4 kill score, 2 Barons, and a 12k gold lead showed how decisively the Nocturne-Ahri access punished Lucian before Milio could stabilize fights. The broader series market had already favored Team Liquid at 88% before Game 1, so this result restored its original confidence after Shopify Rebellion’s earlier win. The listed post-game series price moved to Team Liquid 100% and Shopify Rebellion 0%, a +21.5pp and -21.4pp shift that signals overwhelming expectations for the next game.

Match Stats

PlayerTeamChampionRoleK/D/AGoldDiff@15DMG%
BvoyShopify RebellionLucianBot0/6/1-1243
ContractzShopify RebellionSkarnerJungle1/1/3+241
ZinieShopify RebellionAniviaMid1/4/3-47
ZeyzalShopify RebellionMilioSupport0/5/3-58
FudgeShopify RebellionGnarTop2/1/2-514
YeonTeam LiquidYunaraBot6/2/8+1243
JosedeodoTeam LiquidNocturneJungle1/0/14-241
QuidTeam LiquidAhriMid4/2/8+47
CoreJJTeam LiquidLuluSupport0/0/15+58
MorganTeam LiquidKennenTop6/0/6+514

FAQ

Q: Why did Shopify Rebellion’s draft advantage fail to appear in Game 3?

The live model favored them at 52%, but Bvoy’s Lucian finished 0/6/1 and never created the early lead Shopify Rebellion needed to control objectives.

Q: What was Team Liquid’s defining Game 3 pick?

Josedeodo’s Nocturne was decisive at 1/0/14 with 88% KP, repeatedly enabling Team Liquid to reach Lucian and secure 2 Barons.

*Odds via Polymarket, 2026-08-29 22:33 UTC.*