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Game 3

Deokdam's Xayah Breaks the Market in LCK Game 3

By Draftlol Analysis Desk

DN SOOPers defied a 44% market price as deokdam's Xayah ruled bot lane and two Barons sealed their LCK 2026 Game 3 win.

DN SOOPersDN SOOPersWinner
Game 328:50LCK
Nongshim RedForceNongshim RedForce
23Kills19
62.4KGold59.0K
1Drag2
8Torres4

Top players by damage

Rakan
SupportPeter
2/5/2096% KP0.9 CS/m
Xayah
Botdeokdam
12/3/887% KP9.8 CS/m
Alistar
SupportLehends
1/5/1584% KP1.0 CS/m
Polymarketmarket probability · DN SOOPers · NONGSHIM RED FORCEUPSET
Game (draft close)DN SOOPers won (45% pre-game)
45%·56%
Series closed 2-1 — series market analysis in the final recap.

TL;DR: With the series tied, DN SOOPers overturned a 44% pre-game market chance to close out Nongshim RedForce in 28:50. deokdam created the decisive bot-lane gap on Xayah, while DN converted that pressure into 2 barons and the Game 3 victory that ended the LCK 2026 contest.

Key Takeaways

  • deokdam built a +1107 gold advantage at 15 on Xayah, turning DN SOOPers' bot lane into the game’s most reliable source of damage and objective control.
  • Peter supplied 2/5/20 on Rakan, repeatedly connecting the engage that allowed DN SOOPers to win the kill race 23-19.
  • DN SOOPers secured 2 barons to 0, a decisive objective edge that made their 62.4k to 59.0k gold lead matter when the map tightened.

Early Game

This was the deciding map after Nongshim RedForce won Game 1 and DN SOOPers answered in Game 2, yet the Game 3 market backed the former at 56%. The opening minutes showed why the contest stayed tense: Scout’s Syndra posted 8/2/4 and held a +343 gold edge at 15, while Kingen’s Yorick carried a +634 advantage for the top side.

But bot lane bent the map in DN’s favor. deokdam’s 12/3/8 Xayah performance, including 87% KP and +1107 gold at 15, gave his team a lane winner that Sivir could not match. That early lead answered the pre-draft question around Rumble too: DuDu’s 2/4/14 showed the predicted meta pick delivered through teamfights, even from a -634 individual gold position.

The Turning Point

Nongshim RedForce had 2 dragons and enough mid-lane power to threaten a comeback, but DN SOOPers found the fights that mattered. Sharvel’s Naafiri finished 4/4/15, creating openings alongside Rakan rather than demanding the spotlight himself. The result was a cleaner path to Baron, where DN’s coordinated engage punished every attempt to contest.

The live draft model gave DN SOOPers 51%, and the edge materialized through execution. Xayah-Rakan supplied the dependable engage-and-follow-up structure the draft promised, while Akali’s pressure prevented Nongshim from freely protecting its scaling Sivir-Yorick plan.

Closing Out

Once the second Baron fell, the match’s 8 towers to 4 told the story more clearly than the narrow gold margin. DN SOOPers used empowered waves to remove Nongshim RedForce’s safe space, then closed with 23 kills to 19 before 28:50 expired. Clozer’s 3/3/6 on Akali did not need to outscore Syndra; his role was to threaten flanks and let the fed marksman carry the final fights.

Polymarket Market

Polymarket read Game 3 incorrectly: DN SOOPers entered draft close at 44%, while Nongshim RedForce held 56%, yet the underdog delivered the win. The market recognized Nongshim’s capable solo lanes and the volatility of a deciding map, but it did not sufficiently price the bot-lane mismatch that became visible through Xayah’s +1107 gold lead at 15. It also underestimated DN’s ability to convert pressure into 2 barons to 0, the execution detail that erased Nongshim’s dragon advantage. Before the series, DN had been favored 68%, but the day’s swings had flipped this individual game’s narrative. This result closes the series 2-1, with the full series-market wrap-up belonging in the series recap.

Match Stats

PlayerTeamChampionRoleK/D/AGoldDiff@15DMG%
deokdamDN SOOPersXayahBot12/3/8+1107
SharvelDN SOOPersNaafiriJungle4/4/15+401
ClozerDN SOOPersAkaliMid3/3/6-343
PeterDN SOOPersRakanSupport2/5/20+442
DuDuDN SOOPersRumbleTop2/4/14-634
DiableNongshim RedForceSivirBot3/5/9-1107
SpongeNongshim RedForceWukongJungle4/6/9-401
ScoutNongshim RedForceSyndraMid8/2/4+343
LehendsNongshim RedForceAlistarSupport1/5/15-442
KingenNongshim RedForceYorickTop3/5/8+634

FAQ

Q: Why did DN SOOPers win despite being priced at 44%?

deokdam’s Xayah built +1107 gold at 15, and DN SOOPers transformed that lane advantage into 2 barons to 0.

Q: Did Rumble deliver on the pre-draft prediction?

Yes. DuDu’s Rumble recorded 2/4/14, providing crucial teamfight impact despite his -634 gold difference at 15.

*Odds via Polymarket, 2026-08-12 10:24 UTC.*