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Movistar KOI Fénix Turns the Draft Edge Into a 2-0 Lead

By Draftlol Analysis Desk4 min read

Movistar KOI Fénix beat Frites Esports Club in 31:10, powered by Kalista’s bot-lane advantage, two Barons and a decisive 12k gold snowball.

GAME 2EMEA MastersSummer Main EventBo5Game 2Patch 26.18
Movistar KOI Fénix
Movistar Koi FénixWinner
31:00
Frites Esports Club
Frites Esports Club
Polymarket · Game marketmarket probability · Movistar KOI Fénix · Frites Esports ClubFAVORITE
Game (draft close)Movistar KOI Fénix won (83% pre-game)
83%·18%
Series (now)post-game · Movistar KOI Fénix 2-0 Frites Esports Club
99%·1%
Series (draft close)pre-game anchor
97%·3%
Δ Series after this game: +2.1pp for Movistar KOI Fénix

Kalista's bot-lane lead powered Movistar KOI Fénix to a commanding Game 2 win.

Key moments

  1. 15'13's Kalista built a +1689 gold lead at 15 minutes.+1.7kMovistar KOI Fénix
  2. 31'Movistar KOI Fénix closed Game 2 15-10 in kills after taking 2 Barons.+11.6kMovistar KOI Fénix

MVP

13
13KalistaKalista

8/3/3 with a +1689 gold difference at 15 minutes

Verified predictions

  • Live draft model favored Movistar KOI Fénix at 51%. They won — confirm whether the draft edge materialized in-game. Pre-match

TL;DR: With the series on the line, Movistar KOI Fénix turned a close draft call into a commanding Game 2 win over Frites Esports Club. 13’s Kalista built a huge bot-lane edge, Myrtus’s Renata Glasc kept the team connected, and two Barons helped stretch the lead to 11.6k gold in 31:10.

Key Takeaways

  • 13 gave Movistar KOI Fénix the bot-lane engine, finishing on 8/3/3 and a +1689 gold difference at 15 minutes.
  • Myrtus anchored the fights on Renata Glasc, whose 1/2/11 line and 6.00 KDA supported the team’s decisive engages.
  • Movistar KOI Fénix claimed 2 Barons to 0 and won 15-10 in kills, turning its early advantage into a 31:10 finish.

Building the Lead

The series had already tilted toward Movistar after a Game 1 win, but this was the chance to put Frites Esports Club under real pressure. The draft model’s stated 51% favor for Movistar only materialized in a limited sense: it correctly picked the winner, but the game was decided less by a narrow draft edge than by execution and the bot-lane gap.

At 15 minutes, 13 held a +1689 gold difference over Lucian, setting Kalista up to turn each skirmish into more pressure. The advantage was striking beside the rest of the map: Movistar’s Khazix was also +1346 gold over Trundle, while NightSlayer’s Gnar was +1400 over Rumble. Frites still found moments through Viktor, but its carries had too little room to stabilize.

The Numbers Tell the Story

Frites Esports Club ended with 10 kills, yet the map told a harsher story: just 4 towers, 1 dragon, and no Barons. Movistar KOI Fénix secured 10 towers and 3 dragons, while accumulating 67.8k gold against 56.2k. That 11.6k gold gap made every later contest increasingly difficult for Frites.

Kalista’s final 8/3/3 line made her the clearest beneficiary of the lead. Meanwhile, Myrtus finished 1/2/11; Renata Glasc’s 6.00 KDA reflects how often she enabled teammates without needing to take over the kill count herself. Fresskowy’s Cassiopeia added a steady 1/2/4, helping keep the team’s fights organized as the advantage grew.

The Final Push

The two Barons to none became the game’s closing lever. With Baron pressure backing the lead, Movistar could claim towers and force Frites to defend instead of setting the pace. After 31:10, the scoreboard read 15-10 for Movistar KOI Fénix, a convincing finish that extended its control of the EMEA Masters 2026 series.

Polymarket Market

The game market had Movistar KOI Fénix at 82% at draft close, and the favorite delivered. That was the right read on the winner, though the match showed a sharper route to victory than a mere pre-game probability: Kalista’s +1689 at 15 minutes and the eventual 2-0 Baron count gave Movistar tools to convert its advantage decisively. The series market moved from 97% for Movistar at draft close to 99% after the game, a +2.1 percentage-point shift. With the series still alive, that price implies the next game is increasingly Movistar’s to close, while leaving Frites with little margin for error.

FAQ

Q: Did Movistar KOI Fénix’s draft advantage decide Game 2?

The model’s stated 51% favor proved right about the winner, but the decisive difference was in-game execution, especially Kalista’s +1689 gold lead at 15 minutes.

Q: Why were the two Barons so important?

Movistar KOI Fénix took 2 Barons to 0, using the objective pressure to secure towers and close the game in 31:10.

*Odds via Polymarket, 2026-10-06 19:19 UTC.*

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