Team Secret Whales vs LØS: Locke Shifts Worlds Game 2 Draft

TL;DR: Team Secret Whales face LØS in Worlds Game 2 with the draft model favoring Team Secret Whales 54% to 46%. The clearest forecast surprise is Dire’s Locke mid instead of the expected Nocturne or Ahri options, creating a risky matchup into Feisty’s Galio despite LØS’s stronger bot-lane record.

Compositions: Team Secret Whales vs LØS

Team Secret Whales have a direct engage and skirmish setup: Hizto’s Vi and Bie’s Nautilus can start fights, while Pun’s Jax threatens a side lane and scales into a carry. Eddie’s Miss Fortune can follow crowd control with an ultimate, but her pairing into Ashe and Seraphine must survive their range and poke. The comp wants early picks through Vi’s gank threat, then decisive mid-game engages before LØS can control space.

LØS bring a more layered teamfight and poke composition. Duduhh’s Ashe and Ackerman’s Seraphine offer range, utility and sustain; Feisty’s Galio can follow an engage or protect the carries, while Zest’s Kennen supplies a flank. Curse’s Trundle can contest frontline and objectives. LØS can poke and scale, then punish clustered opponents with Galio and Kennen. Their main risk is being forced into a fight before Ashe and Seraphine can soften targets.

Key Picks and Stats

Top is a counterpick contest. Pun’s Jax has a 48.1% global WR over 360G and a 50.0% Worlds WR over 4G; his global record versus Kennen is 25.0% over 4G. Zest’s Kennen is 49.6% over 131G globally and 100.0% over 1G at Worlds, with a 75.0% global WR versus Jax over 4G. That head-to-head favors Kennen, though its sample is small.

Hizto’s Vi is a strong engine: 53.1% over 1321G globally and 70.0% over 10G at Worlds. Against Curse’s Trundle, Vi has a 58.8% global WR over 34G and 100.0% over 2G at Worlds. Curse’s Trundle is 52.3% over 459G, but only 40.0% over 5G at Worlds, and has a 41.2% global WR versus Vi over 34G.

Mid is the sharpest draft risk. Dire’s Locke posts 52.2% over 301G globally and 50.0% over 8G at Worlds, but just 37.5% versus Galio over 24G. Dire is 0.0% over 1G on Locke at Worlds, with a 1.7 KDA. Feisty’s Galio is 48.0% over 665G globally and 71.4% over 7G at Worlds, with a 62.5% global WR against Locke over 24G.

Bot lane favors LØS on history: Eddie’s Miss Fortune is 48.3% over 325G globally and 50.0% over 4G at Worlds; Duduhh’s Ashe is 55.4% over 932G and 66.7% over 6G at Worlds. Ackerman’s Seraphine is 54.3% over 1012G and 71.4% over 7G at Worlds, against Bie’s Nautilus at 46.4% over 1318G and 70.0% over 10G. Bie’s Worlds KDA on Nautilus is 0.4 over 1G.

Draft Edge

The model slightly favors Team Secret Whales, but LØS have the more comfortable counter-matchups in top, mid and bot. Vi was forecast as the most likely B1 and appears in the draft, but the pick order is not provided, so confirmation as B1 is impossible. The predicted bans cannot be checked without ban data. Locke is the clear departure from the forecast’s Nocturne/Ahri possibilities. Team Secret Whales need Vi to create early momentum and Jax to pressure a side lane; LØS should protect Galio’s mid advantage and use ranged poke to deny clean engages.

Polymarket Market

Polymarket puts Game 2 at Team Secret Whales 60% and LØS 40%, while the Series market now gives Team Secret Whales 38% and LØS 62%. Before the match, the Series stood at 68%–32% for Team Secret Whales, so the current quote is a substantial reversal after LØS won Game 1, 14-9 in 40:10. The supplied series movement is also listed as -6.0 percentage points for Team Secret Whales, which does not match the displayed 68% and 38% quotes.

The Game market is 22 percentage points more favorable to Team Secret Whales than the current Series market. That gap suggests traders see a plausible Game 2 bounce, while still rating LØS more likely to win the series. Vi’s strong record and the model’s slight edge support that single-game optimism; LØS’s bot strength and the Locke-Galio matchup help explain the series price.

Prediction

The model prediction remains Team Secret Whales 54% to LØS 46%. The market’s 60% Game price is more bullish, but LØS’s Game 1 win and counterpick advantages make the model’s narrower edge sensible. Team Secret Whales can flip the read by converting Vi engages; if Locke falls behind Galio, LØS can control the pace.

FAQ

*Data: draftlol live draft model + Polymarket, draft close.*