Dplus Kia vs T1 at Worlds: Anivia’s 69% Viktor Read

TL;DR: Dplus Kia and T1 meet in Worlds Game 1 with the draft model split 50%–50%. T1’s Anivia has a 69% win rate against Viktor over 16 games, a striking historical edge for Faker’s pick—but Dplus Kia’s ShowMaker brings a 71.4% Worlds win rate on Viktor, setting up a direct test of those numbers.

T1’s Anivia pick points to a plan of controlling space and slowing Viktor’s approach, backed by a historical 69% win rate against the champion over 16 games. It may be a deliberate answer rather than a forced pick: Faker’s Anivia can wall off Dplus Kia’s engage, but T1 needs to convert that control into room for Jayce and Caitlyn to poke before Kalista can force a fight.

Compositions: Dplus Kia vs T1

Dplus Kia have a layered engage and teamfight composition: Jarvan IV and K’Sante can start fights, Renata Glasc can turn a counter-engage, and Kalista gives the team follow-up and the option to rescue an ally. Viktor adds late-game scaling and zone control. Early on, Lucid’s Jarvan IV can create skirmishes; by mid-game, Dplus Kia want to reach objectives together and snowball a clean engage.

T1 combine Jayce and Caitlyn’s poke with Vi’s reliable engage, Neeko’s initiation, and Anivia’s terrain control. Their early game should pressure lanes and build space around objectives. In the mid-game, Vi and Neeko can catch a target, while Anivia’s wall complicates Dplus Kia’s approach. T1 have strong poke, but need to avoid letting Kalista and Jarvan IV begin a favorable close-range fight.

Key Picks and Stats

Top lane is K’Sante versus Jayce. Siwoo’s K’Sante has a 45.4% global WR over 1420G and 27.3% at Worlds over 11G; Doran’s Jayce has 46.6% globally over 1042G and 66.7% at Worlds over 6G. The global head-to-head favors K’Sante at 55.5% over 164G, while the two Worlds games are even at 50.0%. Doran’s Worlds rate comes from a small sample: his Jayce record is 100.0% over 1G, with a 13.0 KDA.

In the jungle, Lucid’s Jarvan IV is at 50.4% globally over 1701G and 54.5% at Worlds over 11G. Oner’s Vi has 53.1% globally over 1314G and 100.0% at Worlds over 6G. Vi leads their global matchup at 56.5% over 214G. That makes Oner’s early engage a real threat, though Jarvan IV offers Dplus Kia a strong answer in grouped fights.

Mid is the key statistical clash. ShowMaker’s Viktor has a 50.5% global WR over 963G and 71.4% at Worlds over 7G; Faker’s Anivia sits at 52.3% globally over 669G and 50.0% at Worlds over 2G. Anivia’s global matchup edge is 68.8% over 16G, but the tiny Worlds sample and ShowMaker’s tournament form make this no certainty.

Bot lane favors Kalista in the matchup data: Smash’s Kalista has 52.0% globally over 379G and 37.5% at Worlds over 8G, while Peyz’s Caitlyn is at 51.8% globally over 896G and 0.0% at Worlds over 1G. Kalista leads Caitlyn 56.2% to 43.8% over 16G. Support adds another sample caveat: Career’s Renata Glasc is 51.5% globally over 373G, 37.5% at Worlds over 8G; Keria’s Neeko is 50.6% globally over 820G, 0.0% at Worlds over 1G. Neeko’s global matchup rate against Renata is 52.6% over 38G.

Draft Edge

T1 have the cleaner ranged-poke setup and useful answers to Viktor, with Anivia’s wall and Vi’s targeted engage helping them dictate when a fight starts. Dplus Kia, however, have a sturdier all-in shape and the better Kalista-versus-Caitlyn matchup figure. Their win condition is to reach objectives without losing too much to poke, then engage before T1 can wear them down. T1 need lane pressure, disciplined spacing, and a pick that lets Caitlyn and Jayce control the map.

Polymarket Market

Polymarket prices Game 1 at Dplus Kia 46% and T1 55%. The Series market is Dplus Kia 46% and T1 54% now, compared with 44% and 56% pre-match. The two-point shift toward Dplus Kia is a modest move, not a reversal.

The market is one point more favorable to T1 in Game 1 than in the Series, while Dplus Kia’s Game and Series prices match. That slight Game tilt fits T1’s Anivia answer to Viktor and their ranged pressure; the series price can also reflect broader team strength, with T1 at 61.4% season WR against Dplus Kia’s 54.0%. These are market prices, not guarantees.

Prediction

The model calls Worlds Game 1 even: Dplus Kia 50%, T1 50%. Keep the prediction at 50%–50%: T1’s Anivia matchup history and Oner’s perfect Worlds Vi record pull one way, while ShowMaker’s 71.4% Worlds Viktor WR and Kalista’s favorable bot matchup pull the other. The head-to-head signal favors T1, but the overall evidence does not justify a confident adjustment.

FAQ

*Data: draftlol live draft model + Polymarket, draft close.*