Eintracht Spandau's Olaf Pick Tests Berlin in Prime League G3

TL;DR: Eintracht Spandau faces Berlin International Gaming in Prime League Game 3 after the series stands at 1-1. The draft model gives Eintracht Spandau a 59% win chance against Berlin International Gaming's 41%. The standout draft fact is Eintracht Spandau selecting Olaf, who holds only a 36% Prime League win rate over 11 games against Ambessa's 58% over 12 games.

Eintracht Spandau has committed to Olaf for Jenax in the top lane despite the champion's struggles in the Prime League this season. The blue side squad appears to be banking on the strong global matchup data against Ambessa to create an early lead through split pushing and skirmishes. Success will depend on whether Lee Sin can set up plays that allow Olaf to snowball before Berlin International Gaming's mid and bot lane threats come online.

Compositions: Eintracht Spandau vs Berlin International Gaming

Eintracht Spandau builds around skirmish and engage tools with Lee Sin and Rakan setting up Olaf and Xayah for mid game carries while Hwei supplies poke and scaling. The team wants early objective fights and map pressure to reach a strong teamfight phase. Berlin International Gaming mixes skirmish aggression from Ambessa and Naafiri with Annie engages and Kai'Sa scaling for late game teamfights and objective control.

Key Picks and Stats

Jenax's Olaf records a 56.6% global WR over 145G but falls to 36.4% in the Prime League over 11G, though it reaches 58.3% against Ambessa over 12G. Xagog's Lee Sin sits at 57.0% globally over 493G and 59.4% in the Prime League over 32G with a 50.0% mark versus Naafiri over 36G. PowerOfEvil's Hwei delivers an 80.0% Prime League WR over 10G and 100.0% on two games with an 11.0 KDA. FUN k3y's Xayah holds 55.3% globally over 228G while seaz's Rakan reaches 53.3% globally over 501G. On the red side Irrelevant's Ambessa shows 48.0% globally over 930G and 42.9% in the Prime League over 35G with a 41.7% mark versus Olaf over 12G. Habubu's Naafiri achieves 55.0% globally over 447G and 56.2% in the Prime League over 32G. Reeker's Annie has 54.1% globally over 486G but only 42.1% in the Prime League over 19G. Patrik's Kai'Sa reaches 55.4% globally over 305G while Kaiser's Neeko sits at 50.6% globally over 719G.

Draft Edge

Eintracht Spandau holds the draft edge through superior team form at 0.700 and season WR at 0.612 plus strong duo synergy on Xayah plus Rakan at 55.89% over 38.69 games. Berlin International Gaming counters with higher h2h at 0.583 and season WR at 0.667. Spandau's win condition centers on early Olaf pressure and Lee Sin ganks while Berlin looks to exploit Naafiri roams and Annie engages to snowball Kai'Sa.

Polymarket Market

The Game 3 market lists Eintracht Spandau at 43% and Berlin International Gaming at 57%, nearly identical to the Series NOW market at 42% to 57%. Because the figures sit within one percentage point this reflects the series moneyline for the deciding Game 3 of the BO3 with no separate per-game market created. The market stays more confident in Berlin International Gaming despite the draft model edge for Spandau, likely factoring Berlin's stronger h2h record and season performance.

Prediction

The draft model predicts Eintracht Spandau at 59% to win Game 3. Berlin International Gaming's 0.583 h2h advantage and 0.667 season WR could shift momentum after their Game 2 victory, yet Spandau's 0.700 team form offers a buffer in the best-of-three decider.

FAQ

*Data: draftlol live draft model + Polymarket, draft close.*