HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers: LCK Skarner Draft Edge

TL;DR: In LCK Game 2, HANJIN BRION’s 36% draft-model chance trails DN SOOPers at 64%, despite HANJIN BRION winning Game 1. DN SOOPers are leaning on Sharvel’s Skarner into Pantheon, a matchup their side has won 63% of the time across 70G, even though Sharvel has only 2 LCK games on the pick.

DN SOOPers have made Skarner the hinge of this red-side draft. Sharvel must turn the favorable Pantheon matchup into early objective control and clean engage; otherwise, HANJIN BRION’s Yorick lanes and Caitlyn-Karma poke can make a low-experience comfort calculation look costly. The pick looks deliberate rather than forced, but its execution burden is substantial.

Compositions: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers

HANJIN BRION drafted a split-push and poke composition. Casting’s Yorick can occupy Jayce in side lanes, while Teddy’s Caitlyn and Namgung’s Karma want priority, turret pressure, and traps around objectives. GIDEON’s Pantheon and Roamer’s Syndra offer point-and-click threat for skirmishes, but the lineup needs early control before DN SOOPers’ engage tools deny its spacing.

DN SOOPers have the more straightforward teamfight setup. DuDu’s Jayce and deokdam’s Ezreal provide poke, while Clozer’s Galio, Sharvel’s Skarner, and Peter’s Seraphine can layer engage and protection. Their scaling is less about a front-to-back carry and more about forcing HANJIN BRION into a clustered fight where Galio and Seraphine convert Skarner’s catch.

Key Picks and Stats

Top lane favors Casting’s counter-pick on paper: Yorick has a 47.8% global WR over 341G and 48.8% in LCK over 41G, but posts 56.2% globally and 54.2% in LCK against Jayce. Casting is only 33.3% over 3G on Yorick, whereas DuDu is 0.0% over 1G on Jayce; DuDu’s Jayce also sits at a 46.6% global WR over 756G and 42.4% in LCK over 85G.

The jungle matchup is the clearest DN SOOPers edge. Pantheon owns only a 37.1% global WR over 70G and 37.5% in LCK over 8G against Skarner; GIDEON is 40.0% over 10G on Pantheon. Sharvel’s Skarner holds a 52.3% global WR over 384G, though his 0.0% over 2G and 3.2 KDA in LCK make the sample a real risk.

Roamer’s Syndra has a 48.2% global WR over 548G but only 43.3% in LCK over 30G. Clozer’s Galio is 56.2% in LCK over 32G, and his 6.5 KDA suggests reliable follow-up. Bot lane is volatile: Caitlyn’s 54.7% global WR over 633G contrasts with Teddy’s 37.5% over 8G, while deokdam is 66.7% over 6G on Ezreal. Namgung’s 66.7% over 3G Karma and 9.2 KDA are HANJIN BRION’s strongest player-specific signal, against Peter’s 0.0% over 1G Seraphine.

Draft Edge

DN SOOPers own the cleaner engage and the Skarner-versus-Pantheon counter, while HANJIN BRION own the better top-lane counter and potentially oppressive bot-lane priority. Last night’s forecast expected DN SOOPers to value Lee Sin and Ahri, but neither appears here; it also recommended Karma bans, yet Namgung secured Karma. No predicted B1 pick was specified, and the supplied draft does not list bans, so those bans cannot be confirmed.

HANJIN BRION win by protecting Caitlyn-Karma siege and letting Yorick split-push. DN SOOPers win by using Skarner and Galio to start fights before Syndra and Caitlyn can poke.

Polymarket Market

Polymarket prices Game 2 at HANJIN BRION 54% and DN SOOPers 46%, directly opposing the model. The series market now gives HANJIN BRION 75% against DN SOOPers 25%, up from HANJIN BRION 46% and DN SOOPers 55% pre-match: a +29.5 percentage points swing after Game 1’s 17-7 kill, 33:20 victory.

The market is more optimistic about DN SOOPers in this individual game than in the series, assigning them 46% here versus 25% overall. That likely reflects Sharvel’s favorable Skarner matchup and DN SOOPers’ superior 0.900 team-form signal, while the series price still respects HANJIN BRION’s Game 1 momentum.

Prediction

The model remains at HANJIN BRION 36% and DN SOOPers 64%. I would move it slightly to 39%-61%: Casting’s Yorick counter and the Caitlyn-Karma lane give HANJIN BRION more upside than the raw draft score implies, but DN SOOPers’ 0.900 form, 0.764 Elo signal, and decisive engage composition keep them favored. Game 1 momentum can also challenge Sharvel’s confidence on a 2G LCK Skarner sample.

FAQ

A: Yes, Yorick has a 54.2% LCK WR against Jayce over 24G, while DuDu is 0.0% over 1G on Jayce. HANJIN BRION still need to stop Skarner from turning side-lane pressure into objective losses.

A: Skarner has a 62.9% global WR against Pantheon over 70G, while Pantheon has only 37.5% in LCK over 8G into the matchup. Sharvel’s 0.0% over 2G on Skarner means DN SOOPers must prove the counter is executable.

*Data: draftlol live draft model + Polymarket, draft close.*