Dplus Kia vs kt Rolster: Annie-Vi Tests LCK Draft

TL;DR: Dplus Kia face kt Rolster in LCK Game 4 with the live draft model favoring Dplus Kia 52% to 48%. The most citable draft fact is ShowMaker’s 70.0% LCK WR over 10G on Annie, giving Dplus Kia a reliable engage-and-burst centerpiece against Bdd’s Akali.

Compositions: Dplus Kia vs kt Rolster

Dplus Kia drafted direct teamfight execution: Siwoo’s Renekton and Lucid’s Vi can force access, while ShowMaker’s Annie supplies point-and-click burst. Smash’s Miss Fortune wants a protected channel after Vi or Neeko engage, and Career’s Neeko adds roam threat, poke angles, and a second engage tool. This is an early-to-mid-game snowball composition that can still punish grouped fights later.

kt Rolster answer with more volatile skirmish and side-lane scaling. PerfecT’s Gwen can split-push and become a late-game carry, while Cuzz’s Skarner creates engage and pick pressure for Bdd’s Akali. Jiwoo’s Kalista and Effort’s Renata Glasc want fast early fights, but their lane must create momentum before Miss Fortune can comfortably join objectives.

Key Picks and Stats

Top lane favors the specialist data around PerfecT. Gwen holds a 55.0% global WR over 302G and 60.0% LCK WR over 30G, while her LCK record versus Renekton is 100.0% over 2G. Siwoo’s Renekton is only 49.5% globally over 855G, 41.5% in LCK over 82G, and Siwoo is 40.0% over 5G with a 1.6 KDA. The tiny matchup sample should temper the conclusion, but KT have a credible side-lane counter-pick.

Jungle is closer. Vi has a 53.4% global WR over 1123G and 53.1% LCK WR over 98G, yet Lucid is 33.3% over 9G with a 2.9 KDA. Cuzz’s Skarner is 53.5% globally over 428G, 52.9% in LCK over 34G, and Cuzz owns 60.0% over 5G with a 4.9 KDA. Vi’s 43.8% global WR over 32G against Skarner is a warning for Dplus Kia.

Mid is Dplus Kia’s cleanest comfort edge. Annie posts a 53.0% global WR over 564G and 56.0% LCK WR over 75G; ShowMaker’s 70.0% over 10G and 3.6 KDA make the pick meta-supported rather than a surprise. Bdd’s Akali has a 43.2% LCK WR over 44G, although his personal 75.0% over 4G with a 7.2 KDA makes him KT’s high-ceiling carry.

Draft Edge

Neither forecast B1 materialized: KT’s expected Ryze and Dplus Kia’s expected Jarvan IV are absent. The supplied record does not list bans, so the expected Nocturne, Seraphine, Karma, Viktor, and Gnar bans cannot be confirmed. Kalista is the sharpest departure from last night’s stable-pick forecast: Jiwoo has 33.3% over 3G, and Kalista carries a -60.0 percentage points patch trend over 10G.

Dplus Kia have the simpler win condition: Vi or Neeko finds engagement, Annie locks a target, and Miss Fortune converts the fight. KT need Skarner to protect Akali’s flank while Gwen reaches scaling and Kalista secures early tempo.

Polymarket Market

Polymarket prices Game 4 at 50% to 50%, even as the Series Now market favors Dplus Kia 76% to 24%. Before the match, the series price was Dplus Kia 64% to 36%, meaning Dplus Kia have moved down -40.0 percentage points from pre-match to now.

The game market is therefore far more optimistic about kt Rolster than the overall series market: KT receive 50% for this map but only 24% for the series. That gap reflects their draft’s immediate upset paths through Gwen, Skarner, and Akali, while the series market still values Dplus Kia’s broader position. Kalista’s patch decline and Dplus Kia’s more dependable engage explain why the market has not made KT favorites.

Prediction

The model says Dplus Kia 52% to 48%, and the draft supports only a narrow adjustment to Dplus Kia 51% to 49%. Dplus Kia won Games 2 and 3 after KT won Game 1, creating momentum, but KT’s 57.9% head-to-head signal and stronger Skarner-Akali synergy can overturn it if early fights become chaotic.

FAQ

A: ShowMaker brings a 70.0% LCK WR over 10G on Annie, while Bdd’s Akali has a 43.2% LCK WR over 44G. Akali’s 75.0% over 4G player sample means Dplus Kia still need vision around flanks.

A: Yes: Jiwoo is 33.3% over 3G on Kalista, and the champion has a -60.0 percentage points patch trend over 10G. Smash’s Miss Fortune has a 55.6% LCK WR over 36G, although his 50.0% over 4G player sample remains limited.

*Data: draftlol live draft model + Polymarket, draft close.*