Dplus Kia Renekton Pick Tests Hanwha Life in LCK Game 2

TL;DR: In LCK Game 2, Dplus Kia on blue side faces Hanwha Life Esports with the draft model giving Dplus Kia a 51% win probability against 49%. The standout feature is Siwoo's Renekton selection, which carries a 44% win rate over 75 LCK games this season despite favorable global matchup data against Aatrox.

Dplus Kia surprised observers by selecting Renekton for Siwoo in the top lane, a pick that posts only 44% WR in 75 LCK games this season. This choice stands in contrast to pre-draft expectations that pointed toward a Jarvan IV opening and Vi plus Bard bans from Dplus. The team likely aims to leverage Renekton's early pressure and scaling potential in a blue side setup, but success hinges on coordinated plays around the mid and bot lane synergies.

Compositions: Dplus Kia vs Hanwha Life Esports

Dplus Kia fields a composition centered around Renekton and Skarner for strong early skirmishes, with Ryze and Viktor providing scaling damage in teamfights. Pyke adds engage and pick potential. They want to snowball early advantages through ganks and objective control in the mid game before transitioning to late game teamfight dominance. Hanwha Life Esports counters with Aatrox and Lee Sin for aggressive skirmishing, Annie for burst and engage, Jhin for poke and utility, and Bard for roaming and setup. Their comp favors mid-game fights and split-push opportunities with strong scaling on Aatrox and Jhin.

Key Picks and Stats

Siwoo on Renekton holds a 44% WR over 75 LCK games this season yet posts 50% WR over 2 LCK games versus Aatrox. Zeus on Aatrox sits at 31.2% WR over 16 LCK games this season. Lucid on Skarner reaches 58.8% WR over 17 LCK games while Kanavi on Lee Sin reaches 57.7% WR over 52 LCK games. ShowMaker on Ryze achieves 54.3% WR over 105 LCK games and 85.7% WR over 7 LCK games versus Annie, while Zeka on Annie reaches 60% WR over 55 LCK games but only 14.3% WR over 7 LCK games versus Ryze. Smash on Viktor holds 36.7% WR over 30 LCK games this season. Gumayusi on Jhin reaches 53.5% WR over 71 LCK games. Career on Pyke reaches 50% WR over 10 LCK games while Delight on Bard reaches 57.1% WR over 70 LCK games.

Draft Edge

Dplus Kia gains a slight edge due to strong mid lane matchup and synergy in duo picks like Ryze plus Viktor at 54.55% WR. The Renekton pick challenges Hanwha Life Esports Aatrox directly and forces the red side into a more reactive stance than the pre-draft forecast of Jarvan IV and Nocturne responses. Hanwha Life Esports still holds solid skirmish tools with Lee Sin and Bard, but the blue side draft creates clearer windows for early objective plays.

Polymarket Market

The Game 2 market shows Dplus Kia at 44% and Hanwha Life Esports at 56%. The series now market has Dplus at 64% versus 36% for Hanwha, a significant shift from the pre-match 34% to 66%. The market is more optimistic about Dplus in the series than this individual game after the game one victory. The draft analysis supports why the series odds favor Dplus despite the per-map market leaning toward Hanwha Life Esports.

Prediction

The model predicts 51% for Dplus Kia. Team form at 0.800 for Dplus and the recent game one victory provide momentum, though Polymarket sees Hanwha favored in game two specifically. Mental state after the 8-20 kill win in 31 minutes could tilt execution in Dplus Kia's favor.

FAQ

*Data: draftlol live draft model + Polymarket, draft close.*