DN SOOPers vs KIWOOM DRX: Nautilus Gamble in LCK

TL;DR: In LCK Game 2, DN SOOPers face KIWOOM DRX with the draft model favoring KIWOOM DRX 60% to 40%. The defining wrinkle is Andil’s Nautilus: the champion holds a 41% LCK WR over 69G, yet Nautilus carries a 67% record against Karma over 84G.

KIWOOM DRX are betting that Nautilus can turn a poor standalone LCK profile into a decisive engage answer against Peter’s Karma. It is a targeted lane gamble rather than a comfort pick: Andil must find early hooks and coordinated roams before Karma shields DN SOOPers through the first major fights.

Compositions: DN SOOPers vs KIWOOM DRX

DN SOOPers drafted a measured scaling composition. DuDu’s Yorick supplies split-push pressure, Sharvel’s Skarner provides reliable engage and pick threat, and Clozer’s Viktor plus deokdam’s Sivir want extended front-to-back teamfights. Peter’s Karma gives poke, movement speed, and shields that can deny KIWOOM DRX’s first engage.

KIWOOM DRX have a sharper early-mid-game skirmish identity. Frog’s Jayce and Ucal’s Aurora create ranged poke and burst angles, while Willer’s Lee Sin can gank sidelanes or kick a priority target into Andil’s Nautilus engage. Aiming’s Miss Fortune makes every narrow choke dangerous, but the red side must snowball before Yorick’s side-lane pressure and Sivir-Viktor scaling take over.

Key Picks and Stats

Top lane is unusually favorable for DuDu. Yorick owns a 47.7% global WR over 300G and a 51.4% LCK WR over 37G, while DuDu is 60.0% on Yorick in LCK over 5G with a 4.5 KDA. Against Jayce, Yorick posts 54.9% globally over 122G and 57.1% in LCK over 21G. Frog’s Jayce is only 47.3% globally over 678G and 43.2% in LCK over 74G, with a 42.9% LCK mark into Yorick over 21G.

The jungle matchup is Willer’s best route to flip that lane. Sharvel’s Skarner has a 52.0% global WR over 323G and a 54.5% LCK WR over 22G, but Sharvel is 0.0% on the champion over 1G despite a 5.5 KDA. His 33.3% LCK record versus Lee Sin over 6G is concerning. Willer’s Lee Sin carries a 56.3% global WR over 508G, 58.3% in LCK over 60G, and a 66.7% LCK record into Skarner over 6G; his 8.4 KDA across 4G on Lee Sin strengthens the proactive case.

Mid and bot offer DN SOOPers scaling but mixed player comfort. Clozer’s Viktor is 25.0% over 4G despite Viktor’s 50.2% global WR over 574G; Ucal’s Aurora is 16.7% over 6G despite a 43.5% global WR over 788G. deokdam’s Sivir has a 54.0% global WR over 531G and 61.4% in LCK over 44G, yet he is 16.7% over 6G. Aiming’s Miss Fortune is 0.0% over 1G, while Peter’s Karma is 0.0% over 1G and Andil’s Nautilus is 27.3% over 11G.

Draft Edge

The draft gives DN SOOPers the more coherent late-game plan, especially through Yorick’s counter-pick profile into Jayce and Sivir’s 61.4% LCK WR. KIWOOM DRX retain the more explosive early win condition: Willer must create a numbers advantage around Jayce poke, Aurora burst, and Miss Fortune’s ultimate before Skarner and Karma stabilize fights.

Last night’s forecast expected Kiwoom DRX to lean on Gnar and Ryze scaling, but neither appeared. The expected Varus, Orianna, and Rumble bans cannot be confirmed because the ban phase was not supplied. Nautilus into Karma is the major departure from that forecast, prioritizing direct engage over the projected scaling route.

Polymarket Market

Polymarket prices DN SOOPers at 46% and KIWOOM DRX at 55% for Game 2. The series market is far more decisive: DN SOOPers are 18% and KIWOOM DRX are 82% now, compared with 32% and 68% pre-match. DN SOOPers have gained 50.0 percentage points in the supplied series movement, but the current series price still heavily favors KIWOOM DRX.

The Game market is materially more optimistic about DN SOOPers than the overall series market, reflecting a draft where Yorick into Jayce and Sivir scaling offer a credible single-map recovery. Still, KIWOOM DRX’s Game 2 edge aligns with Willer’s Lee Sin profile and the Nautilus-Karma matchup signal. Their 27-6 kill, 28:30 Game 1 win also explains why the series market remains so harsh.

Prediction

The model calls KIWOOM DRX 60% to DN SOOPers 40%. I would trim that slightly toward DN SOOPers because DuDu’s Yorick lane data and the blue side’s scaling are unusually concrete, but KIWOOM DRX remain favored: their 0.749 Elo signal versus 0.251, stronger form, and Game 1 momentum make early mental recovery a real hurdle.

FAQ

A: Yes, if DN SOOPers protect the side lane: Yorick has a 57.1% LCK WR versus Jayce over 21G, while Frog’s Jayce is 42.9% in that matchup over 21G.

A: Nautilus is only 40.6% in LCK over 69G, but he is 60.0% versus Karma in LCK over 10G, giving KIWOOM DRX a specific engage-based lane bet.

*Data: draftlol live draft model + Polymarket, draft close.*