BNK FEARX Alistar Pick Tests DN SOOPers in LCK Game 2

TL;DR: In LCK Game 2, BNK FEARX holds a 64% model prediction against DN SOOPers on blue side. Kellin’s Alistar, limited to just 2 LCK games at 44% WR, stands out as the key surprise pick while the team leads the series 1-0 after a dominant Game 1 win. Polymarket shows even higher confidence with BNK FEARX at 76% for this map and 92% for the series.

BNK FEARX surprised observers by handing Kellin Alistar despite his 44% win rate across 36 LCK games and only two prior appearances on the champion. The blue side appears to be forcing an aggressive engage pattern that exploits Nautilus’s weaker global matchup data, hoping to snowball mid-game skirmishes before DN SOOPers can scale with Gnar and Ryze. Success depends on precise Alistar combos landing while Sivir and Taliyah control the map tempo.

Compositions: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers

BNK FEARX fields an engage-heavy setup built around Pantheon and Alistar for early skirmishes, with Taliyah providing zone control and Sivir offering scaling poke. The team wants to force fights in the mid game before Tristana falls off. DN SOOPers leans on Gnar and Ryze for late-game scaling alongside Naafiri’s skirmish pressure and Kai’Sa’s carry potential. Red side needs to survive the early engage window and reach a teamfight where their superior scaling can flip the script.

Key Picks and Stats

Clear’s Tristana sits at 40.0% WR over 5 LCK games this season and only 50.0% against Gnar in the league. Raptor’s Pantheon posts 46.7% WR over 92 LCK games but drops to 33.3% versus Naafiri in limited samples. VicLa on Taliyah holds 38.2% WR over 55 LCK games. Taeyoon’s Sivir reaches 60.0% WR over 40 LCK games while deokdam’s Kai’Sa hits 72.7% over 11 LCK games. Kellin’s Alistar lands at 44.4% WR over 36 LCK games yet shows 59.7% global WR against Nautilus across 77 games. On the red side, DuDu’s Gnar boasts 60.2% WR over 83 LCK games, Sharvel’s Naafiri reaches 48.3% over 29 LCK games, and Clozer’s Ryze sits at 54.3% over 105 LCK games.

Draft Edge

BNK FEARX gains the clearer edge through superior engage and bot-lane synergy. The Alistar pick creates a direct counter to Nautilus despite Kellin’s limited experience, while Sivir’s 60.0% LCK WR gives Taeyoon a reliable platform. DN SOOPers holds scaling advantages with Gnar and Ryze but must first navigate BNK’s early pressure. The model’s 64% projection for blue side aligns with these win conditions.

Polymarket Market

Polymarket lists BNK FEARX at 76% for Game 2 and 92% for the series now, compared with 78% pre-match for the series. The market has shifted 14 percentage points toward BNK FEARX after the Game 1 victory. The Game 2 line sits below the series line, reflecting that a single map win would close the series for the favorites.

Prediction

The draft model favors BNK FEARX at 64%. Momentum from the 1-0 series lead and stronger head-to-head data on key lanes support a slight upward adjustment, though DN SOOPers could punish any overextension if the engage fails to connect.

FAQ

*Data: draftlol live draft model + Polymarket, draft close.*