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Qiyana Pick Puts SU Esports Ahead in Verdant EMEA Masters G2

By Draftlol Analysis Desk3 min read

Verdant faces SU Esports in EMEA Masters Game 2 where SU's Qiyana selection stands out despite a 38% win rate in eight games, with the draft model giving SU a 59% edge.

LIVE DRAFT ANALYSISEMEA MastersSummer LCQGame 2Patch 26.18
Verdant
Verdant
50%·50%Model · picks
SU Esports
Su Esports
0.0%VS GLB
48.1%GLOBAL
VS EMEA Masters
33.3%EMEA Masters
Ornn
Ornn
topTOP
Olaf
Olaf
GLOBAL53.6%
VS GLB100.0%
EMEA Masters85.7%
VS EMEA Masters
45.5%VS GLB
55.1%GLOBAL
VS EMEA Masters
44.4%EMEA Masters
Lee Sin
Lee Sin
jungleJGL
Qiyana
Qiyana
GLOBAL56.7%
VS GLB54.5%
EMEA Masters37.5%
VS EMEA Masters
55.6%VS GLB
50.7%GLOBAL
VS EMEA Masters
56.8%EMEA Masters
Viktor
Viktor
midMID
LeBlanc
LeBlanc
GLOBAL52.4%
VS GLB44.4%
EMEA Masters50.0%
VS EMEA Masters
42.0%VS GLB
50.3%GLOBAL
40.0%VS EMEA Masters
50.0%EMEA Masters
1.8 KDA
33.3%MISHI
Yunara
Yunara
bottomBOT
Caitlyn
Caitlyn
GLOBAL52.9%
VS GLB58.0%
EMEA Masters57.9%
VS EMEA Masters60.0%
43.6%VS GLB
46.8%GLOBAL
25.0%VS EMEA Masters
45.1%EMEA Masters
Lulu
Lulu
supportSUP
Bard
Bard
GLOBAL53.0%
VS GLB56.4%
EMEA Masters57.4%
VS EMEA Masters75.0%
Model
50%50%
Polymarketmarket probability · Verdant · SU Esports
Game 2
34%·67%
Seriesnow
5%·95%
Full model: 41% / 59%

TL;DR: In EMEA Masters Game 2, Verdant on blue side meets SU Esports on red side with the draft model assigning Verdant a 41% win chance and SU Esports 59%. SU Esports' Qiyana selection for Kaboom despite the jungler's 38% win rate over 8 games forms the standout draft detail. Polymarket prices SU even higher at 66% for the game and 82% for the series.

SU Esports turning to Qiyana for Kaboom in this spot signals a deliberate push for early roaming pressure and skirmish wins against Verdant's Lee Sin. The pick appears forced in part by the need to counter blue side scaling threats, yet it requires Kaboom to deliver immediate map impact for the strategy to pay off. With the series already at 0-1 after Game 1, SU looks ready to accept variance in exchange for a potential quick 2-0 close.

Compositions: Verdant vs SU Esports

Verdant fields Ornn, Lee Sin, Viktor, Yunara and Lulu for a scaling teamfight setup that prioritizes mid-game control and late utility from Lulu and Ornn. The composition wants to absorb early pressure before Viktor and Yunara carry into the later stages. SU Esports counters with Olaf, Qiyana, LeBlanc, Caitlyn and Bard built around early skirmish engages and Qiyana plus Bard roam potential. Their plan centers on snowballing leads before Verdant's scaling pieces come online.

Key Picks and Stats

bobista's Ornn posts a 33.3% win rate over 18 EMEA Masters games this season and sits at 0.0% in 4 games versus Olaf. IlllIma's Olaf counters with an 85.7% win rate over 7 EMEA Masters games and a perfect 100.0% in 4 matches against Ornn. Mafro's Lee Sin holds 44.4% over 18 EMEA Masters games while facing Kaboom's Qiyana at 37.5% over 8 games. Sayn's Viktor reaches 56.8% over 37 EMEA Masters games against Vetheo's LeBlanc at 50.0% over 16. Mishi's Yunara sits at 50.0% over 70 EMEA Masters games but drops to 40.0% versus Caitlyn in 5 games there, while Nako's Caitlyn reaches 57.9% over 38 EMEA Masters games and 60.0% versus Yunara in 5. guggu's Lulu records 45.1% over 51 EMEA Masters games against Patch's Bard at 57.4% over 61.

Draft Edge

SU Esports holds the clearer draft edge through superior individual champion win rates and the aggressive Qiyana angle aimed at early map control. Their win condition rests on Qiyana and LeBlanc creating early kills to prevent Verdant from reaching the scaling window. Verdant must survive the first 15 minutes and leverage Viktor plus Yunara damage once teamfights begin.

Polymarket Market

Polymarket lists Verdant at 34% for Game 2 and 18% for the series now after SU took Game 1. The series price sits well below the game price, showing bettors view this map as Verdant's best remaining chance yet still expect SU to close the series. The 66% game odds for SU align with the stronger individual stats on red side and the momentum from the prior win.

Prediction

The draft model favors SU Esports at 59%. Team form gives SU a slight additional boost at 0.400 versus Verdant's 0.300, and the mental edge from winning Game 1 could extend that advantage further in this best-of context.

FAQ

Q: Why select Qiyana for Kaboom when the win rate sits so low in EMEA Masters? A: The pick targets early aggression and roams against Lee Sin even though Kaboom holds only a 37.5% win rate over 8 games.

Q: Does the top lane favor SU Esports heavily?

IlllIma's Olaf reaches 85.7% over 7 EMEA Masters games while bobista's Ornn sits at 0.0% in 4 matches against that champion.

*Data: draftlol live draft model + Polymarket, draft close.*

Next chapter · Game 2Patch's Bard Powers SU Esports' EMEA Masters Closeout