The Secret Club vs Forsaken: Ahri Tests Decay’s Viktor

TL;DR: The Secret Club face Forsaken in EMEA Masters Game 2 with the draft model favoring Forsaken 60% to 40%. The key wrinkle is Decay’s Viktor: he has a 63% global win rate against Ahri over 46 games, despite a 0% EMEA Masters win rate in 2 games on Viktor.

Decay’s Viktor gives Forsaken a proven answer to Kryzik’s Ahri: the matchup favors Viktor at 63% globally, and Decay has won neither of his 2 EMEA Masters games on the champion. Forsaken need Viktor to control mid and scale into teamfights; The Secret Club must turn Ahri’s mobility into early picks before that comfort matchup takes over.

Compositions: The Secret Club vs Forsaken

The Secret Club pair Nasser’s Vi with Kryzik’s Ahri for direct engage and pick potential. Yuki’s Kalista can follow fights and help accelerate the early game, while Danilo’s Kennen offers a flank-based teamfight threat. Enoch’s Renata Glasc adds counter-engage and protection. Their clearest route is to create skirmishes around mid and objectives, then snowball Kalista’s early pressure rather than wait for a slow scaling game.

Forsaken build around MAXI’s Maokai engage, Color’s Gnar follow-up, and Decay’s Viktor control. Syzyfek’s Corki supplies poke and late-game damage, while Nio’s Blitzcrank can punish exposed targets. This composition is better equipped to control space and contest grouped fights as the game progresses. Gnar and Maokai provide initiation, but Forsaken must avoid letting Vi and Ahri find Viktor before he can set up.

Key Picks and Stats

Top lane tilts toward Danilo’s Kennen on the matchup numbers, though the samples are small: Kennen has a 60.7% global WR over 28G against Gnar, while Gnar has a 39.3% global WR over 28G against Kennen. Danilo’s Kennen sits at 48.4% global WR over 124G and 66.7% in EMEA Masters over 6G this season; Color’s Gnar is stronger overall at 54.5% over 1206G, with 52.2% in EMEA Masters over 67G.

In jungle, Nasser’s Vi has a 53.2% global WR over 1235G but just 46.0% in EMEA Masters over 63G. MAXI’s Maokai records 48.3% over 176G globally and 46.2% over 13G in EMEA Masters. Vi has a 62.5% global WR over 8G against Maokai, giving Nasser a promising matchup signal.

Mid is the pivotal lane. Kryzik’s Ahri has 53.9% global WR over 896G and 55.1% in EMEA Masters over 78G, but only 37.0% over 46G against Viktor globally and 33.3% over 3G in EMEA Masters. Decay’s Viktor has 50.2% over 876G globally and 53.2% over 62G in EMEA Masters; his 63.0% global WR over 46G against Ahri is countered by his 0.0% in EMEA Masters over 2G, with a 1.4 KDA.

Bot lane gives Yuki’s Kalista the stronger tournament record: 52.3% global WR over 287G and 70.0% in EMEA Masters over 10G, against Syzyfek’s Corki at 46.4% over 949G and 47.5% over 61G in the league. Kalista’s global matchup record against Corki is 52.4% over 21G. Support is more volatile: Enoch’s Renata Glasc has 50.2% globally and 70.0% in EMEA Masters over 10G, while Nio’s Blitzcrank has 49.3% globally and 50.0% over 4G in EMEA Masters. Nio’s champion has a 60.0% global WR over 5G against Renata Glasc.

Draft Edge

Forsaken’s control and scaling give them a slight draft edge, especially if Viktor can safely reach the mid game. The model’s broader signals lean the other way in some areas: The Secret Club’s champion win-rate signal is 54.2%, compared with Forsaken’s 49.0%, and their listed duo synergy is 57.7% versus 50.9%. Those numbers support The Secret Club’s coordinated Vi–Ahri engage, but Forsaken’s Gnar–Viktor pairing has a 67.9% duo win rate in the supplied model data.

The Secret Club’s win condition is tempo: Nasser and Kryzik need to threaten Viktor early, while Yuki converts lane pressure into objective control. Forsaken want to blunt that first wave, let Viktor scale, and use Maokai or Blitzcrank to start fights on favorable terms.

Polymarket Market

Polymarket gives Forsaken 78% in the Game 2 market, against The Secret Club at 22%. No series-now or series pre-match percentages were provided, so a series movement comparison cannot be established from this snapshot. The model is substantially less confident, projecting Forsaken at 60%.

The market’s 78% for Forsaken in this game is more optimistic than the draft model, likely reflecting Forsaken’s Game 1 win and the strength of Decay’s Viktor matchup. That confidence has a draft-based caveat: Decay is 0-2 on Viktor in EMEA Masters, and The Secret Club have an early engage path that can target him before he scales.

Prediction

The draft model’s baseline is The Secret Club 40% — Forsaken 60%. Given the mid-lane counter-pick evidence and Forsaken’s Game 1 momentum, Forsaken remain the pick, but their odds should be tempered by Decay’s 0% EMEA Masters record on Viktor across 2 games. If Vi–Ahri creates early picks, the model’s lean could flip in-game.

FAQ

*Data: draftlol live draft model + Polymarket, draft close.*