Secret Club's Ornn gamble vs Anubis in EMEA Masters G1

TL;DR: The Secret Club face Anubis Gaming in EMEA Masters Game 1, with the draft model projecting a 56% to 44% edge for the blue side behind Ornn, Lee Sin and Cassiopeia. The most citable draft fact: B Butcher has a 62% WR on Milio over 8G in EMEA Masters, but has played the pick just 1G in this event's history on record — while Polymarket prices Anubis at 82%.

The headline draft story here is not Anubis Gaming's Fiora or Xin Zhao — it is the Milio–Lulu support matchup on the bottom lane, where the numbers are screaming in opposite directions. B Butcher sits on a 62% WR with Milio in EMEA Masters across 8G, a sample that would normally make the pick a comfort staple, yet his own recorded Milio games in this event amount to just 1G with a 2.0 KDA. That is a narrow, noisy sample to hang a red-side draft on, which suggests Anubis is deliberately choosing the Milio–Lucian lane to counter Lulu rather than defaulting to it, betting on the 62.5% EMEA Masters head-to-head over Lulu to hold up over a full game.

Compositions: The Secret Club vs Anubis Gaming

The Secret Club's blue-side comp is a classic front-to-back scaling setup. Danilo's Ornn gives them a hard engage and a late-game item upgrade engine, Nasser's Lee Sin supplies early skirmish pressure and pick potential, and Kryzik's Cassiopeia is the sustained damage carry once fights extend. Yuki's Yunara and Enoch's Lulu round it out as a hyper-carry plus enchanter pairing, which wants a controlled early game, vision around the mid lane, and a slow, grindy path toward a late-game 5v5 where Ornn's engage and Cassiopeia's DPS overlap.

Anubis Gaming answer with more early-game agency. maged's Fiora is a split-push threat that wants side-lane pressure and a front-to-back collapse, Theocacs's Xin Zhao brings an aggressive early gank pattern, and Giyuu's Anivia is a zone-control mage that pokes and walls teams out of objectives. Shy Carry's Lucian and B Butcher's Milio form a lane-dominant bottom pairing: Lucian wants to bully the Lulu lane early, snowball a lead, and convert it into mid-game tempo before Yunara comes online.

Key Picks and Stats

Top lane is Ornn versus Fiora, and the global data reads as a genuine counter-pick in Danilo's favour: Fiora has a 42.9% WR over 28G globally, and maged's Fiora sits at 0.0% versus Ornn over 2G. Ornn himself is at 33.3% WR over 24G in EMEA Masters, which is uncomfortably low, so the counter-pick advantage is real but the pick's baseline is shaky.

Jungle is Lee Sin versus Xin Zhao, where both global numbers favour Nasser: Lee Sin holds 54.9% WR over 830G, and he beats Xin Zhao 51.8% over 83G globally and 100.0% over 2G in EMEA Masters. Theocacs counters with a 53.2% WR over 79G on Xin Zhao in EMEA Masters — his best league number on the board.

Mid lane flips the script. Cassiopeia is strong globally at 55.9% over 705G and 55.1% over 49G in EMEA Masters, but Giyuu's Anivia beats her 55.6% over 9G in EMEA Masters and carries a 64.7% WR over 51G in the league — the single highest league winrate in this draft.

Bottom lane is Anubis's clearest edge: Lucian beats Yunara 55.6% over 9G in EMEA Masters, and Milio beats Lulu 62.5% over 8G in the same sample.

Draft Edge

Anubis Gaming come out of the draft ahead on lane matchups, taking bottom lane and mid lane outright while splitting top. The Secret Club's advantage is structural: Ornn plus Lulu plus Cassiopeia is a far stronger late-game 5v5 configuration, and Lee Sin's early pressure can neutralise Xin Zhao's gank timings. Anubis need Lucian to snowball before Yunara's scaling arrives, and they need Fiora to win side lanes. Secret Club need to survive the first 15 minutes and let Ornn upgrades and Cassiopeia DPS take over.

Notably, The Secret Club's duo synergy is weak on paper — Ornn plus Yunara at 0.3943 WR and Ornn plus Lulu at 0.3439 — while Anubis's Lucian plus Milio sits at 0.4726 over a large sample, reinforcing their bottom-lane edge.

Polymarket Market

Polymarket prices this Game 1 at The Secret Club 18% versus Anubis Gaming 82%. No series pre-match odds were provided for comparison, so the movement cannot be tracked directly. What stands out is the direction of travel: the draft model gives Secret Club 56%, yet real money prices them at 18% — a 38 percentage point gap. The market is far more optimistic on Anubis than the composition-based model, and the draft supports that read: Anubis win both bottom lane and mid lane head-to-heads, and their Lucian plus Milio pairing has by far the more reliable synergy numbers.

The likely explanation is that the market is discounting The Secret Club's late-game win condition entirely, pricing in the assumption that Anubis close the game out inside 25 minutes via Lucian tempo and Fiora split-push before Ornn and Cassiopeia scale.

Prediction

The model says The Secret Club 56% to Anubis Gaming 44%. Given that Anubis take both contested lanes on head-to-head numbers and hold the single highest league winrate in the draft with Giyuu's Anivia at 64.7% over 51G, I would trim that to roughly 51% to 49% — effectively a coin flip. External factors: Theocacs's form on Xin Zhao (53.2% over 79G in EMEA Masters) is a genuine swing factor, and if Anubis fail to convert their lane leads before 25 minutes, the Ornn-upgrade late game becomes very hard to lose.

FAQ

A: Because Milio beats Lulu 62.5% over 8G in EMEA Masters and 51.1% over 139G globally — the matchup data outweighs B Butcher's thin personal sample of 1G at a 2.0 KDA.

A: Yes, if they reach late game. Ornn is a counter-pick into Fiora, who is at 0.0% versus Ornn over 2G, and Kryzik's Cassiopeia (55.1% over 49G in EMEA Masters) is the real damage engine.

*Data: draftlol live draft model + Polymarket, draft close.*