Karmine Corp Blue vs Anubis Gaming: Karma Risk in EMEA Masters

TL;DR: Karmine Corp Blue face Anubis Gaming in EMEA Masters Game 3 with the draft model giving Anubis a 55% edge to Karmine’s 45%. The clearest risk is B Butcher’s Karma: she has a 39.4% EMEA Masters win rate over 94 games, while B Butcher is 0-2 on her in the tournament.

Anubis Gaming’s Karma is a bet on empowering Jinx and keeping the team mobile through fights, but B Butcher’s 0-2 record on the champion in EMEA Masters makes that bet especially demanding. If Karma’s shields and speed let Shy Carry reach safe, repeated damage windows, Anubis can convert its stronger matchup profile into control; if Karmine Corp Blue’s engage finds Jinx, the pick may not have time to pay off.

Compositions: Karmine Corp Blue vs Anubis Gaming

Karmine Corp Blue pair Tao’s Zaahen and Yukino’s Vi with Prime’s Rell for layered engage, then add Kamiloo’s Smolder and Looki’s Ziggs for scaling and poke. Early, Yukino needs to create access and help Tao contest the top matchup. In mid game, Vi and Rell can lock down a target for Ziggs’ follow-up; later, Smolder gives the composition a stronger damage curve if Kamiloo survives Anubis’ dives.

Anubis Gaming bring a more mobile teamfight setup: maged’s Ambessa and Theocacs’ Xin Zhao can skirmish and dive, while Giyuu’s Galio adds follow-up engage and Shy Carry’s Jinx supplies the late-game carry threat. Karma offers shields and movement speed, helping Anubis kite or accelerate a push. The plan is to use early skirmishes to build a lead, then protect Jinx as the fight stretches out.

Key Picks and Stats

In top, Tao’s Zaahen has a 53.4% global WR over 487G and a 59.0% EMEA Masters WR over 39G. Maged’s Ambessa sits at 48.8% over 1356G globally and 49.4% over 83G in EMEA Masters, though maged is 2-0 with a 3.8 KDA on her there. Zaahen has a 75.0% EMEA Masters WR against Ambessa, but that is only 4G; the model’s 13-game matchup sample instead favors Ambessa at 55.37%.

Jungle tilts toward Theocacs on form: Xin Zhao is at 54.9% over 113G in EMEA Masters, and Theocacs has a 75.0% WR with a 4.9 KDA over 4G. Yukino’s Vi is 47.8% over 90G in the league but 62.5% with a 2.8 KDA over 8G for Yukino. Vi versus Xin Zhao favors Xin Zhao 61.1% to 38.9% in 18 EMEA Masters games.

Mid is a small-sample warning. Kamiloo’s Smolder has a 40.3% global WR over 62G; Giyuu’s Galio has a 58.8% league WR over 51G and a 100% WR with a 5.2 KDA over 1G. Their EMEA Masters head-to-head sample is absent.

Bot and support define the draft tension. Looki’s Ziggs is 45.9% over 364G globally and 55.6% over 9G in EMEA Masters; Shy Carry’s Jinx is 52.9% over 17G in the league. Ziggs versus Jinx favors Jinx 54.84% to 45.16% over 7G. Prime’s Rell is 33.3% over 48G in EMEA Masters, while B Butcher’s Karma is 39.4% over 94G; their league matchup sample is just 4G, where Karma is 75.0%.

Draft Edge

Anubis have the cleaner matchup numbers and stronger league results on Xin Zhao and Galio, plus a Jinx-centered scaling route. Karmine’s answer is reliable engage and a Smolder-Ziggs damage mix, but its execution depends on Vi and Rell reaching the right target. Karma is a meta pick by presence, yet B Butcher’s record makes it a high-risk choice rather than a comfortable lane advantage.

Polymarket Market

Polymarket gives Karmine Corp Blue 55% for Game 3 and Anubis Gaming 45%. The Series market now stands at Karmine 26% and Anubis 74%. No series pre-match odds were provided, so the size or direction of any market movement cannot be established from this snapshot.

The Game market is substantially more optimistic about Karmine than the Series market: a 29-percentage-point gap separates Karmine’s 55% Game price from its 26% Series price. These are not near-identical odds, so there is no basis to describe this as a reused deciding-map market. The split suggests traders see Karmine as live in this specific draft despite Anubis’ series advantage, while Anubis’ matchup edges and Karma’s strong enabling potential offer reasons to resist the market’s Game lean.

Prediction

The model makes Anubis Gaming a 55% favorite, against 45% for Karmine Corp Blue. Anubis’ advantages in the jungle matchup, mid-lane league results, and overall team form (0.800 versus 0.700) support that call. Karmine’s stronger Elo signal (0.604 versus 0.396) and the Game market’s 55% price for them keep an upset plausible. Anubis won Games 1 and 2, but both listed scorelines are 1-1 kills, so the results show series momentum without a clear kills-based blowout. The draft model’s slight Anubis edge remains the safer prediction.

FAQ

*Data: draftlol live draft model + Polymarket, draft close.*