Galions vs Berlin International Gaming: Lee Sin Gamble

TL;DR: Galions are favored 57% to 43% over Berlin International Gaming in the EMEA Masters Game 2 draft model, but 113’s Lee Sin is the defining gamble: the champion has a 41% win rate over 58 EMEA Masters games, compared with Wukong’s 71% over 63. Berlin needs Lee Sin to create early leads before Galions’ layered engage takes over.

Berlin International Gaming have given 113 Lee Sin into Thayger’s Wukong despite a stark EMEA Masters split: Lee Sin sits at 41% over 58 games, while Wukong is at 71% over 63. The pick can unlock early ganks and snowball lanes, but it asks 113 to convert quickly; his own Lee Sin record is 0% over 2 games, so this looks like a high-risk choice rather than a proven comfort edge.

Compositions: Galions vs Berlin International Gaming

Galions pair Camille, Wukong, and LeBlanc for skirmishes and decisive engage, with Jhin and Karma adding long-range follow-up and poke. Early on, Thayger can contest fights around Camille’s side-lane pressure, while OMON looks for picks with LeBlanc. In the mid game, Camille’s access to the backline and Wukong’s area control give Galions a strong way to start fights. Their late-game plan is less forgiving: Jhin’s EMEA Masters win rate is 38.8% over 67 games, so Galions need to create space for him rather than rely on him to carry alone.

Berlin’s Sion, Lee Sin, Cassiopeia, Ezreal, and Nami offer frontline, poke, and counter-engage. Lee Sin wants early tempo; Cassiopeia can punish dives and control narrow fights, while Ezreal and Nami provide safer ranged damage. Berlin can scale into a powerful teamfight around Cassiopeia, but they need to avoid being pulled apart by Camille’s split-push and LeBlanc’s picks.

Key Picks and Stats

Top lane favors Berlin in the historical matchup, though the samples are tiny. Carlsen’s Camille has a 52.7% global win rate over 450 games and 60.0% in EMEA Masters over 20; her global record into Sion is 20.0% over 5. Irrelevant’s Sion has a 48.3% global win rate over 1038 and 59.3% in the league over 81, with an 80.0% global win rate into Camille over 5. He is at 40.0% on Sion in EMEA Masters over 5.

Jungle is the draft’s swing role. Thayger’s Wukong has a 44.1% global win rate over 1067 and 48.2% in EMEA Masters over 110, but he is 100.0% over 4 games with a 17.0 KDA in the tournament. 113’s Lee Sin is 54.2% globally over 898 but 41.4% in EMEA Masters over 58; his EMEA Masters matchup record into Wukong is 42.9% over 7, and his tournament Lee Sin line is 0.0% over 2 with a 1.1 KDA.

Mid gives Berlin a strong baseline: Reeker’s Cassiopeia is 56.0% globally over 762 and 54.7% in EMEA Masters over 75, but 40.0% into LeBlanc over 5 league games. OMON’s LeBlanc is 52.4% globally over 250 and 48.0% in the league over 25; he is 66.7% over 3 tournament games with a 4.1 KDA. Bot lane data points toward Patrik: his Ezreal is 50.2% globally over 1643 and 48.4% in the league over 128, with a 56.7% global win rate into Jhin over 178. HARPOON’s Jhin is 45.2% globally over 1021 and 38.8% in EMEA Masters over 67. Support is more even: Zoelys’ Karma is 48.0% globally over 930 and 39.5% in the league over 86, while Kaiser’s Nami is 48.8% globally over 631 and 53.7% over 41 in EMEA Masters.

Draft Edge

The model gives Galions the edge at 57%, supported by stronger form (0.700 to 0.600), Elo (0.689 to 0.311), and season win rate (0.679 to 0.646). Berlin have useful matchup advantages in top and bot, but the Lee Sin risk and his limited tournament results weigh against them. Galions’ clearest route is coordinated engage through Camille and Wukong; Berlin must turn Lee Sin’s early pressure into a lead and let Cassiopeia anchor later fights.

Polymarket Market

Polymarket prices Game 2 at Galions 74% and Berlin International Gaming 26%, while the Series market now stands at Galions 92% and Berlin International Gaming 8%. No Series pre-match odds are provided, so the market’s movement from its opening price cannot be established. The Game market is 18 percentage points less confident in Galions than the Series market, making traders notably less certain about this map than about the overall series. That gap fits the draft: Berlin have credible lane matchups and a strong Cassiopeia, even as Galions benefit from the Lee Sin risk and their substantial Game 1 win, 25-1 in 22:00.

Prediction

The draft model’s Galions 57% — Berlin International Gaming 43% remains a reasonable map prediction; the market’s 74% for Galions is more bullish. Game 1’s decisive 25-1 result gives Galions momentum, but Berlin’s lane matchups and Cassiopeia’s teamfight potential leave room for a response. The prediction assumes Galions can deny Lee Sin an early snowball.

FAQ

*Data: draftlol live draft model + Polymarket, draft close.*