UCAM’s Leona Gamble vs Bushido Wildcats | EMEA Masters

TL;DR: Bushido Wildcats face UCAM Esports in EMEA Masters Game 1, with the draft model favoring UCAM 61% to 39%. The defining wrinkle is Passzi’s Leona: she has a 36.4% EMEA Masters WR over 33G, while Carry’s Bard has a 56.8% league WR over 81G. UCAM’s engage must land before Bushido’s counter-engage takes over.

Passzi’s Leona is a deliberate test of UCAM’s ability to force fights despite a 36.4% EMEA Masters WR over 33G. Into Carry’s Bard, UCAM need clean engage timing and control of the first mid-game objectives; otherwise, Bard’s ability to disrupt their approach can expose Leona’s poor league record.

Compositions: Bushido Wildcats vs UCAM Esports

Bushido Wildcats pair Aytekn’s Camille with Osman123’s Qiyana and Camana’s Galio for skirmish pressure, dive and layered engage. In the early game, Qiyana can threaten side lanes while Galio supports fights with his global presence. Caitlyn and Bard offer lane pressure and pick potential; later, Camille’s split-push can stretch UCAM before Bushido commits to a teamfight.

UCAM Esports have a more direct engage-and-follow-up plan: Kozi’s Gnar and Passzi’s Leona start fights, while bluerzor’s Jarvan IV locks targets down. ESCIK’s Ryze adds scaling and map mobility, and ANDARIEL’s Ezreal provides poke and safer damage. UCAM want to reach mid game with room to engage around objectives, then use Gnar’s transformation to turn a catch into a teamfight.

Key Picks and Stats

Aytekn’s Camille has a 51.8% global WR over 427G and a 70.0% EMEA Masters WR over 10G. Kozi’s Gnar posts 54.5% over 1206G globally and 52.2% over 67G in the league. The matchup leans UCAM in the broader sample: Gnar is 58.8% over 17G into Camille globally, though both champions are 50.0% over 2G in EMEA Masters.

Osman123’s Qiyana is 59.0% over 346G globally and 58.3% over 24G in EMEA Masters. bluerzor’s Jarvan IV is 51.0% over 1580G globally and 49.0% over 98G in the league; against Qiyana, Jarvan is 39.0% over 77G globally and 25.0% over 4G in EMEA Masters. That small league sample favors Bushido, but is far from conclusive.

Camana’s Galio has a 47.9% global WR over 601G and a 60.0% EMEA Masters WR over 35G. ESCIK’s Ryze is 50.6% over 1598G globally and 58.9% over 107G in the league. Their global matchup is even at 50.0% over 24G.

Ruep’s Caitlyn records 52.3% over 816G globally and 54.7% over 64G in EMEA Masters, but just 25.0% over 12G against Ezreal in the league. ANDARIEL’s Ezreal is 50.3% over 1606G globally and 50.0% over 112G in EMEA Masters; he is 75.0% over 12G into Caitlyn in the league and 75.0% over 4G in his own EMEA Masters games, with a 7.8 KDA.

Carry’s Bard has a 52.8% global WR over 1203G and 56.8% over 81G in EMEA Masters; Carry is 100.0% over 3G against Leona in the league, with a 20.0 KDA in one EMEA Masters game on Bard. Passzi’s Leona has 50.9% over 536G globally, but 36.4% over 33G in EMEA Masters. Her league record against Bard is 0.0% over 3G, compared with 32.4% over 37G globally. The Leona pick is the draft’s clearest risk.

Draft Edge

UCAM’s edge comes from stronger model signals in team form, head-to-head and Elo, plus Gnar’s favorable global matchup into Camille and Ezreal’s league results against Caitlyn. Their win condition is coordinated engage before Bushido can split the map or counter-engage.

Bushido’s clearest route is to use Qiyana’s pressure and Galio’s follow-up to punish UCAM’s dives, then let Camille create side-lane choices. Bard’s league results against Leona make that support matchup a real counterweight. Overall, UCAM’s more favorable team indicators outweigh the risk in the support pick.

Polymarket Market

The supplied Series NOW market gives Bushido Wildcats 84% and UCAM Esports 16%. No Game market or Series PRE-MATCH odds were provided, so a Game-versus-Series comparison and market-movement calculation are not possible. The available market strongly favors Bushido, in sharp contrast to the draft model’s 39% for Bushido and 61% for UCAM. That market view may reflect confidence in Bushido beyond this draft, while UCAM’s model edge rests on team-level signals and specific lane advantages; Passzi’s Leona record is a notable reason not to treat the model lean as a sure thing.

Prediction

The model predicts Bushido Wildcats 39% — UCAM Esports 61%. The draft supports a narrow UCAM lean, but Bushido’s Bard-versus-Leona results and Qiyana’s favorable league matchup into Jarvan IV provide credible ways to flip Game 1. Team form also separates them in the model: 0.600 for UCAM against 0.500 for Bushido.

FAQ

*Data: draftlol live draft model + Polymarket, draft close.*