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Bubliki vs ONLY THE FAMILY: Vi Test at EMEA Masters

By Draftlol Analysis Desk4 min read

Bubliki’s Vi faces a risky EMEA Masters test against ONLY THE FAMILY’s Wukong as lane data challenges the 55% red-side model edge.

LIVE DRAFT ANALYSISEMEA MastersSummer LCQGame 1Patch 26.18
Bubliki
Bubliki
45%·55%Model · full
ONLY THE FAMILY
Only The Family
56.1%VS GLB
48.3%GLOBAL
75.0%VS EMEA Masters
61.3%EMEA Masters
Sion
Sion
topTOP
Renekton
Renekton
GLOBAL50.2%
VS GLB43.9%
EMEA Masters39.1%
VS EMEA Masters25.0%
60.0%VS GLB
53.1%GLOBAL
83.3%VS EMEA Masters
41.2%EMEA Masters
Vi
Vi
jungleJGL
Wukong
Wukong
GLOBAL43.3%
VS GLB40.0%
EMEA Masters48.6%
VS EMEA Masters16.7%
RENEWAL0.0%
1.3 KDA
46.4%VS GLB
48.0%GLOBAL
—VS EMEA Masters
38.7%EMEA Masters
Taliyah
Taliyah
midMID
Viktor
Viktor
GLOBAL50.7%
VS GLB53.6%
EMEA Masters57.1%
VS EMEA Masters—
40.0%VS GLB
54.8%GLOBAL
0.0%VS EMEA Masters
40.0%EMEA Masters
Kai'Sa
Kai'Sa
bottomBOT
Sivir
Sivir
GLOBAL54.1%
VS GLB60.0%
EMEA Masters52.9%
VS EMEA Masters100.0%
53.7%VS GLB
53.6%GLOBAL
33.3%VS EMEA Masters
51.4%EMEA Masters
2.8 KDA
0.0%LEKCYC
Rakan
Rakan
supportSUP
Nautilus
Nautilus
GLOBAL46.5%
VS GLB46.3%
EMEA Masters45.5%
VS EMEA Masters66.7%
Model
45%55%
Polymarketmarket probability · Bubliki · ONLY THE FAMILY
Full model: 45% / 55%

TL;DR: In EMEA Masters Game 1, Bubliki’s Vi is the pressure-point against ONLY THE FAMILY’s Wukong: the draft model gives Bubliki 45% and ONLY THE FAMILY 55%, despite Vi holding only a 41.2% EMEA Masters WR over 51G. Bubliki need TinjaNurtle’s Vi to force early picks before Viktor and Sivir scale.

Compositions: Bubliki vs ONLY THE FAMILY

Bubliki drafted a direct engage-and-pick composition through Sankaizer’s Sion, TinjaNurtle’s Vi and Lekcyc’s Rakan, with Heroic’s Taliyah able to punish narrow jungle routes and demonadc’s Kai'Sa following the first engage. Their cleanest early route is a Vi-Rakan roam into Taliyah’s terrain control; in later fights, Kai'Sa needs a safe entry after Sion or Vi starts the engage.

ONLY THE FAMILY have a more conventional front-to-back teamfight setup. Heprex’s Renekton and Renewal’s Wukong can create the first engage, while Skaterot’s Viktor and Vespa’s Sivir provide scaling, waveclear and sustained poke. Leo S Man’s Nautilus gives them reliable lock-down, so red side can slow the game, trade early objectives and make Bubliki cross Viktor’s zone control to reach Sivir.

Key Picks and Stats

The jungle matchup is unusually split. TinjaNurtle’s Vi has a 53.1% global WR over 1192G but only a 41.2% EMEA Masters WR over 51G; nevertheless, Vi owns a 60.0% global WR over 130G and an 83.3% EMEA Masters WR over 6G versus Wukong. Renewal’s Wukong is at a 43.3% global WR over 977G, a 48.6% league WR over 72G, and a 16.7% EMEA Masters WR over 6G versus Vi, while Renewal’s lone Wukong tournament game produced a 0.0% WR and 1.3 KDA.

Top lane favors Bubliki’s matchup data. Sankaizer’s Sion posts a 48.3% global WR over 1003G but a 61.3% EMEA Masters WR over 62G, including 75.0% over 4G against Renekton. Heprex’s Renekton has only a 39.1% league WR over 46G and a 25.0% EMEA Masters WR over 4G versus Sion.

Mid and bot pull red side back. Skaterot’s Viktor carries a 57.1% EMEA Masters WR over 42G and a 53.6% global WR over 28G against Taliyah, while Heroic’s Taliyah sits at 38.7% over 31G. Vespa’s Sivir has a 52.9% league WR over 34G and a 100.0% EMEA Masters WR over 3G against Kai'Sa; demonadc’s Kai'Sa is 40.0% over 25G and 0.0% over 3G in that matchup. Lekcyc’s Rakan has a 0.0% WR over 1G with a 2.8 KDA, though Rakan’s 51.4% league WR over 35G is sturdier than Nautilus’s 45.5% over 77G.

Draft Edge

Bubliki’s Vi is a calculated counter-pick rather than standard meta comfort: the champion’s league baseline is poor, but the direct Wukong matchup strongly favors Vi. Their draft edge exists only if Vi converts that matchup into early objective control and Kai'Sa access.

ONLY THE FAMILY own the more dependable scaling draft. Viktor-Sivir can carry extended fights, and Nautilus plus Wukong gives a simple engage chain. Red side should protect Sivir through the first two objective cycles, deny Taliyah roams, and force Bubliki to engage into Viktor.

Polymarket Market

No Polymarket Game or Series percentages, pre-match price, or market movement were supplied with this draft. That means there is no verified basis to compare Game and Series pricing or to claim a series shift; the usable market-like reference is the model’s 45%-55% Game 1 split.

Prediction

The model projects Bubliki 45% and ONLY THE FAMILY 55%. I would narrow that to 47%-53% because Bubliki’s Sion-Vi matchup data are unusually favorable, but ONLY THE FAMILY’s better current team-form signal, 0.500 to 0.400, and stronger Viktor-Sivir scaling still justify the red-side edge. In a best-of context, Bubliki’s response to an early failed Vi gank could also affect confidence quickly.

FAQ

Q: Can TinjaNurtle’s Vi really punish Renewal’s Wukong for Bubliki?

A: Yes, the direct sample is compelling: Vi has an 83.3% EMEA Masters WR over 6G versus Wukong, while Renewal’s Wukong has a 16.7% WR over 6G against Vi.

Q: Why is ONLY THE FAMILY still favored with Heprex’s Renekton into Sankaizer’s Sion?

A: Viktor and Sivir compensate for top lane, especially with Skaterot’s 57.1% EMEA Masters WR over 42G and Vespa’s 100.0% WR over 3G against Kai'Sa.

*Data: draftlol live draft model + Polymarket, draft close.*

Next chapter · Game 1Skaterot’s Viktor Sets Only The Family’s EM Tone →