HANJIN BRION vs Xi'an Team WE: Qiyana Shifts the DCGI Draft

TL;DR: In DCGI Game 4, the draft model favors Xi'an Team WE 61% to HANJIN BRION’s 39%, but Polymarket backs HANJIN BRION 57% for this game. WE’s Monki brings Qiyana, a 58.4% global WR pick, while BRO’s Xayah-Rakan offers the draft’s clearest established synergy at 55.6% over 83.8 games.

Compositions: HANJIN BRION vs Xi'an Team WE

HANJIN BRION build around layered engage and counter-engage: Aatrox and Malphite can start fights, while Ahri adds pick threat and Xayah-Rakan can follow up or disengage. The comp wants to contest objectives in the mid game, find a clean initiation, and let Teddy’s Xayah deal sustained damage in the late game. It has little traditional poke and needs to avoid starting fights before Xayah is positioned.

Xi'an Team WE have a more volatile skirmish profile. Sion and Nautilus bring reliable engage, while Qiyana and LeBlanc threaten burst and flanks; Jinx supplies late-game scaling if the front line creates space. WE should use Qiyana and LeBlanc to pressure side lanes and punish isolated targets early, then turn picks into objectives. Their late-game teamfights depend heavily on Jinx surviving the opening engage.

Key Picks and Stats

Top lane is close on the supplied head-to-head: BROCasting’s Aatrox has a 49.1% global WR against Sion over 55G, while WECube’s Sion has 50.9% against Aatrox over the same sample. Their broader seasonal figures are 47.7% over 486G for Aatrox and 48.2% over 1,054G for Sion.

In the jungle, Monki’s Qiyana is the standout statistical pick: 58.4% over 413G this season, with the model’s champion record at 60.1% over 134 games. Gideon’s Malphite is a more unusual choice, at 49.7% over 155G this season; the model’s matchup sample against Qiyana has zero games, so it cannot support a meaningful direct comparison.

Mid lane favors Roamer’s Ahri in the head-to-head data: 56.7% against LeBlanc over 30G, compared with Karis’s LeBlanc at 43.3% against Ahri over 30G. Their seasonal global records are 54.0% over 948G for Ahri and 52.5% over 257G for LeBlanc.

Bot lane brings two contrasting profiles. Teddy’s Xayah posts 55.6% over 426G this season and 52.9% against Jinx over 17G; About’s Jinx has 49.3% over 140G and 47.1% against Xayah over 17G. Support also leans toward BRO in the matchup: Namgung’s Rakan has 54.2% against Nautilus over 59G, while Erha’s Nautilus records 45.8% against Rakan over 59G.

The pre-draft note floated Lucian as a possible WE B1, but the final draft instead reveals Qiyana as the key surprise. The supplied draft does not include bans, so the forecast Orianna, Cassiopeia, and Nocturne bans cannot be confirmed.

Draft Edge

The model gives WE the edge at 61%, supported by stronger team form (0.700 to 0.400), head-to-head (0.615 to 0.385), and Elo (0.610 to 0.391). Yet BRO’s Xayah-Rakan pairing has a model synergy score of 0.556, and its established synergy record is stronger than WE’s listed combinations. WE’s clearest route is to snowball through Qiyana-LeBlanc skirmishes; BRO can answer by forcing front-to-back fights and protecting Xayah.

Polymarket Market

Polymarket prices HANJIN BRION at 57% and Xi'an Team WE at 43% for Game 4, but gives BRO only 30% to WE’s 70% for the series now. The series market has swung from BRO 56% and WE 44% pre-match: a 14.0 percentage-point move toward WE. That reversal suggests the earlier games have shifted confidence toward WE overall, even as traders favor BRO in this particular map.

The split makes sense against the draft: BRO has the stronger-looking Xayah-Rakan lane and several favorable head-to-head records, while WE’s Qiyana has exceptional global results and the model’s team-level indicators favor WE. Game 1 and Game 2 went to Team WE; HANJIN BRION took Game 3, so the map-specific price may reflect a response to BRO’s win without overturning WE’s series advantage.

Prediction

The model’s 61%–39% call for Xi'an Team WE is defensible, especially given its form, Elo, and Qiyana pick, but the market’s game price and BRO’s lane matchup data justify narrowing the gap slightly. My adjusted read is Xi'an Team WE 56% to HANJIN BRION 44%. Game 3’s BRO win adds momentum, while WE’s two earlier wins and stronger series-market position remain important context.

FAQ

*Data: draftlol live draft model + Polymarket, draft close.*