HANJIN BRION vs Natus Vincere: DCGI Draft Edge
HANJIN BRION brings Olaf–Yunara synergy to DCGI Game 2, but Natus Vincere's Jax–Wukong engage and a sharp market swing make this draft a close call.
TOP
VS GLB41.9%43GVS Demacia Cup Global Invitational—
JGL
VS GLB45.6%136GVS Demacia Cup Global Invitational—
MID
VS GLB52.2%90GVS Demacia Cup Global Invitational—
BOT
VS GLB45.1%175GVS Demacia Cup Global Invitational—
SUP
VS GLB47.9%167GVS Demacia Cup Global Invitational—TL;DR: In DCGI Game 2, the draft model gives HANJIN BRION a 44% chance against Natus Vincere at 56%. HANJIN BRION’s Yunara has a 57.39% matchup WR against Lucian across 87 games, the clearest individual draft edge in a game where both teams have viable teamfight plans.
Compositions: HANJIN BRION vs Natus Vincere
HANJIN BRION’s Olaf, Xin Zhao, Orianna, Yunara, and Lulu want to turn mid-game skirmishes into decisive teamfights. Xin Zhao can start or disrupt fights, while Orianna’s ball gives Olaf or Xin Zhao a potent engage angle. Lulu can protect Yunara as she scales, and the team’s strongest late-game route is to keep its carry alive while Orianna controls space.
Natus Vincere’s Jax, Wukong, Viktor, Lucian, and Milio mix engage with scaling and side-lane pressure. Jax can split-push and force HANJIN BRION to answer him; Wukong offers a direct teamfight entry, with Viktor able to follow up or zone opponents. Lucian and Milio offer a more immediate lane-oriented threat, but Natus Vincere must avoid letting Yunara reach a comfortable late game.
Key Picks and Stats
Top lane favors Olaf on the listed head-to-head: Casting’s Olaf has a 52.7% global WR over 484 games this season and a 58.1% WR against Jax over 43 games. Maynter’s Jax is at 47.1% over 331 games, with a 41.9% WR against Olaf in that same 43-game sample. That makes Jax a risky answer, though his split-push remains a useful win condition.
In the jungle, GIDEON’s Xin Zhao has a 48.7% global WR over 1,467 games this season and a 54.4% WR against Wukong over 136 games. Rhilech’s Wukong sits at 44.1% over 1,065 games, with a 45.6% WR against Xin Zhao over 136 games. The matchup record leans HANJIN BRION, while Wukong still supplies reliable teamfight engage.
Mid lane is close: Roamer’s Orianna has a 51.0% global WR over 1,115 games and a 47.8% WR against Viktor over 90 games. Poby’s Viktor posts a 50.5% global WR over 911 games and a 52.2% WR against Orianna over 90 games. Bot lane is the clearest HANJIN BRION advantage: Teddy’s Yunara has a 50.8% global WR over 1,337 games and a 54.9% WR against Lucian over 175 games. SamD’s Lucian has a 48.7% WR over 958 games and a 45.1% WR against Yunara in those 175 games. Support is more even: Namgung’s Lulu is at 47.9% over 1,068 games, while Parus’s Milio is at 47.8% over 782; Lulu’s listed matchup WR is 52.1% over 167 games.
Draft Edge
The pre-draft forecast called for Aatrox and Aurora as likely B1 priorities, and suggested bans including Aatrox, Sion, and Yunara for HANJIN BRION. The actual draft has neither predicted B1 pick: HANJIN BRION selected Olaf, and Natus Vincere took Jax. The listed bans are unavailable, so the expected bans cannot be confirmed. Olaf is the standout deviation from the forecast; the matchup stats make it a credible Jax counter rather than a blind surprise.
The model’s overall draft signals favor HANJIN BRION in champion WR (51.1% to 47.9%), matchup WR (53.6% to 46.4%), and duo synergy (54.6% to 49.5%). Natus Vincere’s best route is to use Jax’s side-lane threat and Wukong’s engage before Yunara takes over. The draft edges favor HANJIN BRION, but the model’s broader team indicators help explain why that does not translate into favorite status.
Polymarket Market
Polymarket prices Game 2 at HANJIN BRION 76% and Natus Vincere 24%, while the Series market now reads HANJIN BRION 56% and Natus Vincere 44%. Before the match, the Series market was HANJIN BRION 80% and Natus Vincere 20%: HANJIN BRION’s odds have fallen 24.0 percentage points.
The market is far more optimistic about HANJIN BRION in this specific game than across the series: 76% for Game 2 versus 56% for the Series. That contrasts with the model’s 44%–56% Game 2 prediction. The draft’s favorable lane matchups and the Olaf–Yunara teamfight setup can support the Game price, while the sharp series-market reversal suggests the wider match context has turned against HANJIN BRION. The reason for that movement is not established by the supplied data.
Prediction
The model prediction remains HANJIN BRION 44% — Natus Vincere 56%. HANJIN BRION has compelling draft-specific edges, especially in the Olaf–Jax and Yunara–Lucian matchups, but Natus Vincere’s higher Elo signal (0.641 to 0.359) and season WR (51.5% to 41.1%) justify the narrow favorite tag. Polymarket’s 76% Game price is a strong counter-signal, not enough on its own to override the model.
FAQ
Q: Can HANJIN BRION’s Olaf punish Maynter’s Jax?
The listed matchup WR is 58.1% for Olaf across 43 games, compared with 41.9% for Jax in that sample. Jax can still threaten through split-push if Natus Vincere creates space.
Q: Why is Teddy’s Yunara a key draft advantage over SamD’s Lucian?
Yunara has a 54.9% WR against Lucian over 175 games, while Lucian has a 45.1% WR against Yunara in those games. That gives HANJIN BRION a strong lane-to-scaling path.
*Data: draftlol live draft model + Polymarket, draft close.*