LØS vs Leviatan: K'Sante Risk Shapes CBLOL Game 2

TL;DR: In CBLOL Game 2, LØS are projected at 86% against Leviatan’s 14%, and Leviatan’s K'Sante choice defines the draft: the champion has a 41.2% CBLOL WR over 51G, while Renekton has a 71.4% CBLOL WR over 7G into the lane. Leviatan need K'Sante to survive and enable their scaling backline.

Compositions: LØS vs Leviatan

LØS drafted a proactive skirmish and pick composition. Zest’s Renekton and Curse’s Lee Sin want early top-side pressure, while Feisty’s Ryze can turn that pressure into side-lane picks through Realm Warp. Duduhh’s Caitlyn supplies lane poke, turret pressure, and objective setup; Ackerman’s Bard adds roam angles and long-range engage. The composition can snowball through early towers, then flex between a front-to-back teamfight and split-push pressure around Ryze.

Leviatan have a more conditional scaling composition. Devost’s K'Sante must absorb pressure, Booki’s Jarvan IV must find decisive engage windows, and Enga’s Anivia plus Strensh’s Corki need time and space to deliver sustained damage. Shiku’s Leona gives a second engage tool, but Bard can punish predictable paths. Leviatan’s best mid-game is a controlled objective fight where Jarvan IV locks targets inside Anivia’s zone control; an uncoordinated engage risks Caitlyn poke and Ryze counter-roams.

Key Picks and Stats

The top lane is the central draft tension. K'Sante is a surprising red-side answer: Devost has an 11.1% CBLOL WR over 9G on K'Sante with a 1.3 KDA, despite K'Sante’s 41.2% CBLOL WR over 51G. Zest, meanwhile, is 100.0% over 2G on Renekton with a 3.6 KDA. The raw matchup data complicates it: Renekton has a 28.6% CBLOL WR over 7G into K'Sante, but K'Sante has a 71.4% CBLOL WR over 7G into Renekton. Those small samples make execution more important than the apparent counter signal.

Mid favors LØS’ player comfort. Feisty owns a 60.0% CBLOL WR over 10G on Ryze and a 4.4 KDA, plus a 57.1% CBLOL WR over 7G against Anivia. Enga is 0.0% over 2G on Anivia with a 1.0 KDA and has a 42.9% CBLOL WR over 7G into Ryze. Bot is similarly sharp: Caitlyn holds a 60.7% CBLOL WR over 28G, while Duduhh is 100.0% over 2G against Corki. Ackerman’s Bard is 71.4% over 7G with an 11.7 KDA; Shiku’s Leona is 0.0% over 1G with a 0.5 KDA.

Draft Edge

LØS have the clearer draft edge because every lane can create initiative. Ryze, Caitlyn, and Bard also show strong model synergy, including a 61.42% WR for Ryze plus Caitlyn and a 58.89% WR for Caitlyn plus Bard. Leviatan’s Anivia plus Leona synergy is notable at 61.55%, but it comes from only 6.453552042100295 games.

Last night’s forecast pointed to Ryze as LØS’ likely B1 and K'Sante as Leviatan’s safest B1; both champions appeared, so the priority read was broadly confirmed. The listed draft does not provide bans or exact pick order, so the expected Varus, Nautilus, Neeko, Jarvan IV, Orianna, and Rumble bans cannot be verified. The surprise is Leviatan trusting Devost’s K'Sante history into Zest rather than choosing a more stable top-side lane.

Polymarket Market

Polymarket makes LØS 90% for Game 2 and Leviatan 10%. The series market is even stronger: LØS are 96% now versus 3% for Leviatan, up from 94% versus 6% pre-match, a +3.0 percentage points move toward LØS.

The market is more optimistic about LØS winning the overall series than this individual Game 2, with 96% versus 90%. That gap reflects Leviatan’s remaining theoretical comeback path in a single map, especially through Jarvan IV and Anivia teamfights, while Game 1’s 12-7 kill win in 35:10 and the current draft both reinforce LØS’ broader advantage.

Prediction

The model gives LØS 86% and Leviatan 14%. I would keep LØS at 86%: their 0.900 team-form signal, 0.907 Elo signal, 0.600 season WR, and Game 1 momentum support the number, while Leviatan’s 10% Game market price captures their narrow engage-and-scaling route. A successful Booki gank onto mid or bot before Caitlyn claims plates is the main factor that could change the game.

FAQ

*Data: draftlol live draft model + Polymarket, draft close.*