Fluxo W7M vs Leviatan: Wukong Risk in CBLOL G2

TL;DR: In CBLOL Game 2, Fluxo W7M’s blue-side draft rates 57% to Leviatan’s 43% in the model, but the headline is Leviatan putting Booki on Wukong despite a 43% global WR over 726G and only 2G for him on the pick in CBLOL. After losing G1, Leviatan are betting on early jungle tempo to reset the series.

Leviatan’s draft turns on Booki’s Wukong, and that is a deliberate swing rather than a comfort default. The pick says Leviatan want faster access to mid-game engage around Enga’s Anivia and Shiku’s Leona, but with Booki at 0.0% over 2G on Wukong in CBLOL and a 0.5 KDA, the margin for error is tiny. Fluxo W7M, by contrast, drafted a composition that can absorb pressure and punish overforce.

Compositions: Fluxo W7M vs Leviatan

Fluxo W7M field Zothve on K'Sante, Peach on Aatrox, cody on Cassiopeia, BAO on Ezreal, and Momochi on Bard. This is a flexible skirmish-and-scaling setup: K'Sante and Aatrox buy space, Cassiopeia punishes short-range engage, Ezreal and Bard give poke plus roam angles, and the composition gets stronger if fights become extended front-to-back battles.

Leviatan answer with Devost on Ambessa, Booki on Wukong, Enga on Anivia, Strensh on Xerath, and Shiku on Leona. Their draft is much more volatile. It has strong pick potential and layered engage, but it also asks Anivia and Xerath to control space while Wukong and Leona start fights cleanly. If Leviatan fall behind, their poke tools become harder to set up into Bard roams and Cassiopeia zones.

Compared with the pre-draft read from last night, the expected blue-side B1 of Ryze did not happen, and neither did the forecast red-side Rumble priority. Fluxo instead leaned into a steadier teamfight shell, while Leviatan moved away from the narrower Sion/Rumble path and took the bigger gamble in jungle.

Key Picks and Stats

Top lane is close on paper but uneven by player trend. Zothve’s K'Sante has a 45.3% global WR over 903G and 42.6% in CBLOL over 47G, while the matchup into Ambessa sits at 44.9% globally over 78G. Devost’s Ambessa shows 48.4% globally over 859G, but 59.5% in CBLOL over 42G and a 60.0% CBLOL lane record versus K'Sante over 10G. The catch is Devost himself is 0.0% over 3G on Ambessa in CBLOL with a 1.7 KDA.

Jungle is where the draft swings. Peach’s Aatrox owns a 48.9% global WR over 368G, 50.0% in CBLOL over 38G, a 57.1% global lane record versus Wukong over 35G, and Peach is 75.0% over 4G with a 6.3 KDA on the pick. Booki’s Wukong sits at 42.6% globally over 726G, 48.0% in CBLOL over 25G, and 42.9% versus Aatrox over 35G. That is the clearest role advantage on the map.

Mid lane is more mixed. cody’s Cassiopeia brings 54.6% globally over 414G and 58.8% in CBLOL over 17G, but only 48.9% versus Anivia over 47G, and cody himself is 0.0% over 3G on the champion. Enga’s Anivia has 53.5% globally over 471G and a 51.1% lane record into Cassiopeia over 47G, yet he is also 0.0% over 1G on Anivia in CBLOL.

Bot side favors Fluxo’s stability. BAO’s Ezreal is only 40.0% over 5G in CBLOL, but Momochi’s Bard is 75.0% over 4G with a 62.8% CBLOL WR over 43G and 100.0% versus Leona in CBLOL over 2G. Shiku’s Leona, meanwhile, is 0.0% versus Bard in CBLOL over 2G.

Draft Edge

Fluxo W7M come out ahead because their draft asks less from its weakest individual trends and gives clearer fallback patterns if early plays fail. The model’s 57% for Fluxo is reasonable, and I would nudge it only slightly to 58% because Peach’s Aatrox and Momochi’s Bard create more reliable execution than Leviatan’s Wukong-centered engage.

Leviatan still have a real win condition: Booki must unlock early river control, Enga’s Anivia must hold mid priority, and Strensh’s Xerath has to soften fights before Leona or Wukong commit. If that chain breaks, Fluxo’s front-to-back teamfighting should take over.

Polymarket Market

Polymarket is far more bullish on Fluxo than the draft model. The Game 2 market sits at 72% for Fluxo W7M and 28% for Leviatan, while the series market now shows 90% to 10%. Pre-match, the series was 76% to 24%, so Fluxo have gained 15.0 percentage points after winning G1 12-6 in 33:20.

That matters because the market is saying momentum and baseline team strength outweigh draft volatility. It is also more optimistic about Fluxo in the overall series than in this specific game: 90% for the series versus 72% for Game 2. That split makes sense. Leviatan’s draft does create a higher-variance path through Wukong, Anivia, and Leona, but bettors still price Fluxo as overwhelmingly likely to close the match after already taking the opener.

Prediction

The model starts at 57% for Fluxo W7M against 43% for Leviatan, and the draft review keeps Fluxo in front. G1 gives Fluxo some momentum, but the more important external factor is that Leviatan are asking Booki to carry the early map on a pick with 0.0% over 2G in CBLOL. If he gets ahead, Leviatan can flip the script; if not, Fluxo’s composition is simply easier to pilot.

FAQ

*Data: draftlol live draft model + Polymarket, draft close.*