How it works
1
The draft ends
Picks and bans are locked. This is the single biggest information edge in a LoL match — and the market is still pricing the game as if it hadn't happened.
2
The model analyzes it
Our model evaluates the draft together with team form, head-to-head history, player performance and Elo to estimate each team's true win probability.
3
The bot decides
If the model's probability beats the Polymarket price by enough margin, the bot backs its prediction with a small, fixed amount. No manual overrides, no cherry-picking.
4
The position closes at 99¢
Right after buying, the bot places a sell order at 99¢. Winning positions exit just before resolution; the rest resolve on-chain.
The rules we hold ourselves to
- •Draft predictions only. In-game trading exists in our lab, but this page tracks exclusively pre-game draft predictions.
- •No LPL. There is no reliable way to get the draft feed for China's league, so we prefer not to predict it at all rather than predict blind.
- •Risk management first. Every prediction risks a small, fixed fraction of the bankroll, with a hard exposure cap per series — never all-in, never chasing losses.